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USA HORSERACING PLAYS SEPT 1ST THRU SEPT 30TH
|SATURDAY- SEPT -25- HORSERACING SATURDAY >><<STATESIDE >FLAT RACING GURU|
Picks & Plays for Saturday, September 25
by David Aragona Top Analyisis for >> TIMEFORM -DRF
Race 1: 3 – 2 – 4 – 1
Race 2: 8 – 1A – 11 – 12
Race 3: 5 – 2 – 4 – 3
Race 4: 2 – 1 – 3
Race 5: 4 – 6 – 10 – 5
Race 6: 3 – 8 – 4 – 9
Race 7: 3 – 5 – 7 – 2
Race 8: 8 – 10 – 7 – 9
Race 9: 7 – 6 – 4 – 9
Race 10: 4 – 2 – 1 – 3
Race 11: 12 – 11 – 10 – 5
For analysis of today’s races, check out David Aragona’s and Mike Beer’s DRF Betting Strategies, featuring in-depth analysis, wagers, and multi-race strategies for the races on this card.
RACE 1: ANILEATE (#3)
RACE 2: MY FIRST GRAMMY (#8)
RACE 6: DROSEL DIEM (#3)
RACE 7: PRICE TALK (#3)
RACE 9: BRADY’S LEGACY (#7)
ED DEROSA PICKS CHURCHILL >>SAT 25TH SEPT
Pressed a fast pacewhen wide and gutted out the win. Only entrant to have won going this far on dirt
3Rumble Strip Ron
Step back against much better on turf last out. Blinkers and Reylu on intrigue
Joins the claiming ranks after chasing the pace this summer and now shedding the blinkers for the first start in Miller’s barn
5Flash of Promise
Blinkers off our top pick and they go on this Diodoro trainee who ran on well in his Canterbury tries and now returns to CD for first time for this barn
Speed on the turf didn’t work out last time, but do like the presence of Leparoux here for that angle, as best race by far was 7f dirt effort two back
Lots of next-out winners in this one’s running lines. Will be the one trying to get first run on our top pick
Really nice effort last out with a sustained run to win a stakes at Colonial, which has produced several winners here already this meeting. 0/7 at CD gives some pause but 5 itm finishes. Needs pace
This one could be that pace third off the layoff for Correas, who never wins first in US and did win second time sprinting. G2 winner going long in Chile
Big weight break for the drop in class. Filly has routinely taken money so some confidence with this one and showed some zip last out.
Ward leading trainer of 2yo MCL at CD last 5 years. Quick trigger on the drop given the obvious trouble last out. Mixed signals at short price
1On Your Mark
Turf to dirt and the rail staying at this 5 ½-furlong distance. Needs to recapture that early zip to contend at this trip but at 6-to-1 we’ll gamble
7Edge to Edge
At this point do we need any info beyond it’s trainer Chris Hartman legging up Mitchell Murrill?
It’s the band back together with Asmussen training a flash 2yo for the Heiligbrodts. Both of the dam’s starters won as 2yo
6Hoist the Gold
Nice step forward for this one but ran into buzzsaw Jack Christopher. Big move to try to chase that one probably won’t be needed here
Undefeated filly has done as she’s pleased in 4 starts including 2 at this distance. Patty H needs a filly to keep her honest
7Someone Said So
That 89 Brisnet Speed Rating last out would make things interesting against this group. $1,200 Keeneland November weanling buy has earned $64k
10f race earlier this meeting was a gate to wire affair, and Dr Jack has that potential against this group going turf to dirt first time Asmussen
By a Preakness winner and gets the Preakness distance should be running on late and is dangerous if speed doesn’t hold
Louisiana shipper has won 4 of last 5 and turned on the after burners speed rating wise. As a Brisnet homer, I have to take the 3yo w/ a trio of triple digit ratings into this
Not sure this one is fast enough to keep up with our top pick but maybe doesn’t have to be on the turnback—stalk and pounce trip?
Not This Time big numbers with his debut runners, and the dam’s lone starter is a winner at 2.
Not This Time big numbers with his debut runners, and the dam’s lone starter is a winner
|LOS ALOMITOS Bob Mieszerski & Mark Ratzky |
RACE 1>> #1 Full of Luck – His 10 lifetime victories is tops in the field,
with 8 of those coming on the turf and the other pair registered on the Golden Gate synthetic; tired in the two Del Mar
lawn parties this summer, but go back to July 4 here and there
is a solid runner-up finish showing after taking the long way
around; versatile and figures right in the thick of things today.
RACE 2>>#4 Borkan – Back to two turns after being claimed for $32,000
from Art Sherman when distant second at 9-2 29 days ago.
Sophomore has yet to try this trip on dirt, but did run well on
the grass earlier in the year in Florida to be part of the trifecta
in three consecutive races when conditioned by Christophe
RACE 3>> #5 Lookout Point – All three starts for Miller have come going a mile on
turf, coming away with a place and two show finishes while chasing some
quality youngsters; tries the main track today while getting what appears to
be the softest assignment of his career and figures to be sitting a sweet tracking trip; lots of respect
RACE 4>> #1 Awhitesportscoat – Goes for new stable after being claimed for
$16,000 from Steve Knapp out of subpar try a month ago. Veteran gelding likes this venue as he’s won two of four here and been 2-3 in his two
defeats. New trainer excellent first off the claim, so bounce back is very
& #6 Stay Happy – Bids for second win of the meet after scoring decisively
vs. softer group two weeks ago. Off rail for this and gets an extra sixteenth of a mile with which to work. Repeat is possible, but others preferred
RACE 5>> #3Man On the Moon – First of 2 from Hess barn; found a sweet spot
down at Del Mar in August after being claimed from Wong and took
them wire-to-wire, then suited up here 8 days ago and went evenly
in the initial try over this unique mile course; if he can run back to
the numbers he earned in that seaside score or the Churchill starts in
June, he should be right there with this group
RACE 6>> #1 Barsabas – Bullet drill in Arcadia since rallying to complete the exacta when 7-1 in first against winners four weeks
ago. Broke his maiden two races back in gate-to-wire fashion,
so his versatility could serve him well in his first try at this
& #2 . Sauls Call – Controlled the pace and dominated eight
opponents when the odds-on choice six weeks ago. Was a
voided claim that afternoon, but has worked thrice since then,
so he could come right back for winning stable.
RACE 8>> 4-1-3-2
RACE 9>> #10 Youonlylivetwice – First time in a seller for Midshipman miss and will
also be making her dirt debut after beating a pair home on turf Aug. 8. Keeps
the meet’s leading rider and should be a major factor with these>>> 10-1-9
RACE 1>> #10 SOUTH SEA win- #4 JUST WHISTLE SPLIT -SINGLES
RACE 2>>#4 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY
RACE 3>>#5 ROO LA LA -5-1-2
RACE 4>>#7 ENGLISH TAVERN- 7-5-3-2
RACE 5>> 5-4-2
RACE 6>> 3-1-5
RACE 7>>#1 THISSTORMISBREWING
RACE 8>>#5 BRUTUS
RACE 9>>#1 CATS PYJAMAS 1PT Single
|WILL RODGERS RACE 8|
|DELAWARE PARK RACE 7|
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * WHERE PARADISE LAY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse’s third or fourth start after a layoff. CENTERFOLDPROSPECT: Horse has a Track Rating”+” designation or an “L” designation. I AM THAT I AM: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Rating. SINGLINO: Today is a sprint and the horse’s last start was within the last ten days. RIDE EM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days
|EMERALD DOWNS RACE 2|
#4 AWESOME DAZE – I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone pace to demolish this field. Good return on investment for this jock and trainer duo. This pony coming off a strong performance in the last month or so is a solid contender in my humble opinion. #6 GET IT GIRL – Jockey hops back aloft after getting to know the horse by riding in the last race. That’s always a positive sign. Selectors took note of this filly in her maiden race at Emerald Downs, sending her off at low odds. Look for a chance at a big improvement in this field.
|CENTURY MILE RACE 1|
SINGLE WIN>>> #4 TOP DEMON – Rode this thoroughbred on Sep 4th and Bynoe is yet again in the irons today. Looking at today’s class rating, this thoroughbred is up against an easier field than last time around the track at Century Mile. I sense a pace scenario where the speed will come back to the field, setting up a perfect situation for her late kick. A horse coming back this promptly after a nice race is a good signal. Recent speed figures show dominant pattern of improvement.
|CHURCHIL DOWNS RACE 2 BY FLAT RACING GURU|
#7 CYPRIANO WIN BOX >>7-5-4
|REMMINGTON PARK |
TOP SHOT PICKS EM SATURDAY 25TH SEPT
Remington Park Selections
Saturday, September 25, 2021
1 SMOK’N POLICY
5 HUNTER QUICK
2 KIRK OF DIAMONDS
6 VIX VISION
12 WAKE UP CALL
6 HE’S MUNNIE
3 ROYAL BERTRANDO
5 NATALIES JOY
6 PICK UP THE FONE
4 PROUD VICTORIA
3 SHE’S FIRE AND ICE
6 EKATI’S HIT
4 MARIA ELENA Y.G
2 NAUGHTY NATALIE
2 PASAMONTE MAN
3 SILVER LUKE SILVER
4 ATTAIN SUCCESS
5 JUST ASK JOEL
5 SUPER BRADY
6 BOB’S BAD BOY
4 GRINNING TIGER
1 J C’S NIGHTCAP
1 REMEMBER ME TONY
2 CLEVER UNION
6 BATTLESHIP BEVO
3 FLATOUT WINNER
6 LA MUSE
2 FLEW BY YOU
1 TEXAS TIDELANDS
TODAY’S BEST BET
SUPER BRADY (6th)
PENTASTIC PICK FIVE
1-5 with 12-6-3 with 5-6-4 with 6-7 with 2-3 ($36)
PREMIER PICK FOUR
12-6-3-1 with 5-6-4 with 6-7 with 2-3-4 ($36)
PRIMETIME PICK FOUR
5-6 with 1-2 with 6-2-7-1 with 10-8-9-2 ($32)
|REMMINGTON PARK PICS |
BY RICHARD LINIHAN
4 Just Fred
6 Vix Vision
1 Smok’n Policy
2 Kirk of Diamonds
8 Grab the Munny
6 He’s Munnie
3 Royal Bertrando
5 Natalies Joy
6 Pick Up the Fone
4 Proud Victoria
6 Ekati’s Hit
4 Maria Elena Y.G.
8 Speaker Van
5 Just Ask Joel
2 Passamonte Man
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2021
6 Bob’s Bad Boy
4 Grinning Tiger
5 Super Brandy
3 Flatout Winner
1 Remember Me Tony
2 Clever Union
6 Battleship Bevo
6 La Muse
2 Flew by You
1 Texas Tidelands
5 Humor’s Reward
Suggested .50-Cent Wager
Race 1 – 1,4,6
Race 2 – 3,4,6,8,10
Race 3 – 1,5
Race 4 – 6,7
Race 5 – 5,8
TOTAL – $60
Suggested .50-Cent Wager
Race 2 – 3,4,6,8,10
Race 3 – 1,4,5,6
Race 4 – 6,7
Race 5 – 5,6,8
TOTAL – $60
PREMIER PICK 4
Suggested .50-Cent Wager
Race 3 – 1,4,5,6
Race 4 – 6,7
Race 5 – 2,5,6,8
TOTAL – $16
KICK OFF PICK 3
Suggested .50-Cent Wager
Race 6 – 4,5,6,7
Race 7 – 1,3
Race 8 – 2,6
Race 9 – 2,5,7,8,9,10,11
TOTAL – $56
|FOR OFFICE USE|
|FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 24TH STATESIDE >><<HORSERACING >>PLAYS >>TIPS FOR TODAYS US CARDS.|
RACE 1>>#4 Lilly Babe-#3 Sally Stanford-#1 We All Agre
RACE 2>> 7-4-5
RACE 3>> 5-4-1-2
RACE 4>>#3 Suzie Qzz Brother – Homebred has been idle since finishing second in consecutive starts, the latest when the 4-5 choice in a similar spot 11 months ago.
Productive stable is good with horses returning from layoffs, so has to be consid
RACE 5>>#4 Miss Fia – Lightly-raced, but consistent mare makes first
start since chasing eventual repeater Rather Nosy more than
four months ago. Clever winner over this track during the 2020
Winter season and is proven fresh as she scored in her career
RACE 6>>#5 Full Draw – Been knocking on the door in the last three trips to
the post, with a 2nd and a show finish at Del Mar and that runnerup finish here opening day behind Paint Me Lucky where he was
well clear of Capper and Cibertruck; left little doubt when breaking
the maiden at this journey back in late February and looms large this afternoon.
RACE 7>>#4 Forest Caraway – Back to sprint game after checking
in distant third in a Grade III at eight furlongs five weeks ago.
Impressive in her comeback at this trip Aug. 1 when making
initial start of 2021. The one to defeat for productive stable as
she has shown the ability to sit and finish.
RACE 8>>#7 . Back Beauty – That coast-to-coast victory on opening weekend by this
veteran mare was her 15th tally from 63 lifetime trips to the post and her
second from 9 runs over this unique mile layout; Uranga is having success
both day and night here and this hard-hitting mare has be respected whenever she suits up
RACE 1>> #9 UNAQUOI
RACE 2>>#2 EASTERN BAY
RACE 3>>#9 THE PREDACAMENT
RACE 5>>#6 BOBBY TWO TIMES
RACE 6>>#11 MRS BOOMBASTIC
RACE 7>>#7 BELLE OF THE NORTH
RACE 8>> FOOL YOURSELF- MOUQUIST split stakes Box 1-7
|CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS FROM ED DEROSA https://www.churchilldowns.com/racing-wagering/handicapping/expert-picks/ed-derosa/|
Favored against 7 others after rough debut. Outside post not great, but we’ll get our price thanks to the rail.
Stretchout, post relief, drop in class, and Hernandez up all conspire to make this filly the one to beat
#8 Curbs and Cones
2 Willie Has Hart
Ran OK at similar level with inside draw last out. Big pause is trainer is winless w/ 2yo MCL at CD last 5 years.
Quick trigger on the MCL drop for Stewart, but he does get Gaffalione & Colonial racers have been productive
7 Delta Nine
Frequent claim now in the Cash barn, which is 20% first in the barn. Could get first run on ML favorite Identity Politics
5 Identity Politics
Steve Asmussen claimed this one for himself. Worried about price given how much running this one will have to do late
7 Donnels Creek
Lanerie aboard Gun Runner filly, who could enjoy the stretch out to 1 1/16 after showing marked improvement going 7f to a mile in first two starts. McPeek 18% w/ +ROI in 2nd route race
5 Golden Sights
Blinkers on and stretching out both positive moves for a barn that’s been positive for bettors all year. Landeros stays aboard after trying stakes last out as a maiden & finishing 2nd
4 Penny Saver
Mohaymen 20% w/ his debut runners, and female side has plenty of win-early pedigree. 2yo form less sparkling, but at 10-1 for a Cox trainee we’ll take it.
12 Buckingham Prince
Leg weary in previous two going shorter, added distance may help this one ration speed—especially under leading rider Tyler Gaffalione.
|BELMONT PARK https://www.nyra.com/belmont/racing/timeformus/#BlogPost28560|
DRF AND TIMEFORMS >>David Aragona
Picks & Plays for Friday, September 24
Race 1: 3 – 4 – 2 – 6
Race 2: 5 – 4 – 1 – 6
Race 3: 5 – 6 – 2
Race 4: 6 – 4 – 1 – 2
Race 5: 5 – 8 – 6 – 1
Race 6: 8 – 2 – 6 – 1
Race 7: 6 – 1A – 5 – 8
Race 8: 4 – 6 – 5 – 2
Race 9: 14 – 16 – 3 – 5
RACE 2: CEE ARE EM (#5)
This is an auction maiden event, for horses who sold or RNA at their most recent sale for $45k or less. Mostly Harmless ran for this condition in her debut at Saratoga on the turf. She didn’t take much money but closed mildly for third after an awkward start. That race’s winner Mystic Eyes came back to finish a good second in a stakes at Kentucky Downs, though I’m not sure if there was much of quality in behind her. Now this gal switches to dirt, and her pedigree says she should like it. Her dam was a Grade 1-placed dirt sprinter and her only other foal to race is a 7-time dirt winner. She’s the horse to beat, but I didn’t want to take a horse that would get bet off turf form. If I’m going to take a runner switching surfaces, I’d rather go for Cee Are Em. She didn’t take much money and showed very little in her debut, which came on turf. Now she switches to dirt for her second start, which makes some sense. While she’s a half-sister to Grade 1 turf winner Data Link, it’s really more of a dirt family on the bottom side. Her dam was a stakes-winning dirt router and the only other sibling of note was best routing on dirt. Chad Summers rarely takes much money so you’re like to get a price on this one. She’s been training better since that debut and may be getting on the right surface this time. I would also consider first time starters, but they generally go out for barns that aren’t known for debut success. Charlottesometimes could be the most dangerous of those based on her quick worktab.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 1,4,6,7
RACE 4: D’VINICRIS (#6)
Mo Mischief is obviously the horse to beat as he drops in for a tag for the first time. This half-million dollar two-year-old purchase for My Racehorse has been quite a disappointment on the racetrack, losing all four starts despite going favored each time. Todd Pletcher has raced him at Monmouth in both starts this year. He ran fine off the layoff two back, but regressed last time, backing up as the even-money choice in a race he really should have won. Pletcher is 15 for 52 (29%) with maidens dropping for a tag for the first time in dirt sprints but the ROI is just $1.21, suggesting that they are often overbet. Given that statistics, I want to find an alternative. Flipping Fun has run some decent speed figures but he’s 0 for 20 in his career and has had his chances at this level while facing New York-breds. Therefore, I’m going in a different direction with D’vinicris. This gelding has had three starts on the dirt, and I don’t think we’ve yet seen the best he has to offer. He faced a very tough field in his debut, beaten by eventual Albany winner Americanrevolution. After that he caught a sloppy track, and then tried the turf. He was back over a harrowed course last time, but I didn’t like the ride he got. Jose Ortiz rode him conservatively away from the gate and then got into all sorts of trouble steadying out of position approaching the half-mile pole. His race was basically over by the time they got to the far turn. I’m hoping Jose Ortiz allows him to show more speed this time, as he’s drawn well outside of primary rival Mo Mischief.
Exacta Box: 4,6
RACE 6: FROMANOTHAMUTHA (#8)
Misbehaved took money in what appeared to be a loaded field on dirt. He broke a half-step slowly, putting him last a few strides out of the gate. He quickly rushed up into mid-pack on the backstretch but was under a hard drive for most of the race. He was no match for the impressive winner but never stopped trying. This colt is a full-brother to accomplished turf sprinter Into Mystic, but there’s some versatility in this pedigree going back to the second generation. Todd Pletcher is 14 for 50 (28%, $1.63 ROI) with maiden second time starters going from sprints to routes on dirt over the past 5 years. I think he’s the one to beat, and slightly prefer him to Immokalee, who has a similar profile. This son of Curlin didn’t run badly at all in his debut and certainly has a right to improve. Judge Davis is another one to consider on the stretch-out for Shug McGaughey, who is 4 for 15 (27%, $3.22 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters going from sprints to routes on dirt over 5 years. He dueled with subsequent Iroquois winner Major General at the top of the stretch before settling for second. My top pick is Fromanothamutha. He showed very little in his debut over a wet track, so it was meaningful that he was bet down to 11-1 in a tough maiden event on Alabama day for his second start. He ran a vastly improved race that day, as he dueled through fast fractions, was passed in upper stretch, but stayed on gamely for third behind the very impressive My Prankster. He ran like one that could get more ground, and this dam has produced several siblings who were best over route distances on dirt. Ray Handal doesn’t have great stats with this move, but he could play out as the main speed and gets a rider switch to Rosario.
Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,3,6
Trifecta: 2,8 with 2,8 with 1,3,4,6
RACE 8: CLASSY EDITION (#4)
November Rein comes in with the best speed figures, having run well to break her maiden two back at Saratoga before taking down the Seeking the Ante Stakes in her first start against winners. A repeat of either of those efforts will make her tough to beat here. However, she does face some additional challenges. She must stretch out a bit to 7 furlongs and do so while facing some intriguing new faces. The Seeking the Ante was a very weak stakes event, as her main rival on paper was basically eased, beaten over 20 lengths in third. Now she’s coming up against a couple of horses who showed real promise breaking their maidens. One of those is Shesawildjoker, who actually defeated November Rein at Belmont in June when both were making their debuts. She was overmatched in the Adirondack and now drops back in against New York-breds. Yet I’m most interested in the last-out debut winner Classy Edition. This filly only got a 71 TimeformUS Speed Figure for her debut victory, a number that doesn’t make her fast enough to contend. However, that was a nearly impossible race to gauge from a speed figure standpoint, as they sealed the track for that race only before harrowing it again for races later in the day. It seems like the track slowed down for that race, but it’s hard to know how much. Regardless of that, she ran like a filly with talent, as she sat just off the pace before inhaling the leaders with an impressive turn of foot. I think she has some ability and she seems like one who will appreciate the added ground. Todd Pletcher is 8 for 16 (50%, $2.83 ROI) with New York-bred last-out debut winners in dirt sprints for their second starts, and half of those winners were 2-year-olds.
Exacta: 4 with 2,5,6
Trifecta: 4 with 6 with 2,3,5
|FLAT RACING GURU PLAYS FRIDAY|
|BELMONT PARK RACE 8|
* GURU ANGLES * #6NOVEMBER REIN: 1PT WIN 11/10
Highest last race speed rating 21% trainer: Wnr last race, Early speed running style helps chances , Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters ,Won last race (SAR 08/27 6.5f Dirt ft fs Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
VELVET SISTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Track-Rating.
ADVERSITY: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
|WILL ROGERS RACE 8|
ROCKIN JO KOOL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Spe ed Rating. MIGHTY LUCKY SEIS: Horse has a TrackMaster “+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KAZAM OF RETURN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast. RL HONDO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
|PRAIRE MEADOWS RACE 1|
TRS AMAZING BONNIE Z looks to be a competitive contender. Her 72 average has this filly with among the strongest Equibase speed figs for this event. Should be given a shot – I like the figures from the last contest. Medina has this filly racing well and is a competitive choice based on the solid Equibase Speed Figs put up in short races lately. LOADED RESUME – Is a sharp contender based on figs put up lately under today’s conditions. Should compete soundly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of horses. JESS LIPPY – The trainer wheels this one back soon to race again. The average class figure alone makes this horse a solid contender.
|GULFSTREAM PARK RACE 2|
#1 RIDE ON BYE – I have to figure Engler is making a good move here. This colt can only profit from the shorter trip. Was in a Maiden Special race at Gulfstream Park last time out. That event had an Equibase class figure of 75 and he is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. This colt is tops in earnings per start. Check out this thoroughbred in the saddling enclosure.
|BELTERRA PARK RACE 8|
#4 AFLAXENDREAM 3/1)
#6 GIMME CLEARANCE
AFLAXENDREAM – Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer Laugherty moves this animal down the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a strong performance given the class advantage. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on September 14th, finishing third. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. This filly’s last speed rating is strong enough to score here, I’ll play her back again this time around. GIMME CLEARANCE – The rider/trainer pair of Dominguez and Silva has a strong return on investment together. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class figure points like this one did last out. I believe she’ll be competitive at this class level. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.
|CHURCHILL DOWNS RACE 6|
#3 CACHIRULO 20/1 SAVE #5 JESUIT 3/1 3-5-10-4 SUPERFECTA OR 5-4-10-3
|SEPT 23RD- HORSERACING PLAYS STATESIDE THURSDAY SEPT 23-|
|WOODBINE RACE 6|
#4 QUANTUM VELOCITY
Save 2-4 EXACTA
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. QUANTUM VELOCITY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET PATH: Horse has a Track “+” designation or an “L” designation. QUANTUM VELOCITY: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Power Ra ting. GENDRAGON: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SYNCHROMESH: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. CASH ADVANCE: Horse ‘s average winning distance is within half a furlong of today’s distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race)
|INDIANA DOWNS RACE 3|
#5 CLASSIC MAX, Dominat Speed front runner, highest last out Speed rating,
RACE 1>> 2-10-5-7
RACE 3>>#6 Miracle Bobbie-= singlewin
RACE 4>>#3 Fudge Cake==single win
RACE 5>>#3 Self Assured
RACE 6>>#9 COST A FORTUNE=1PT Single win
RACE 9 -#3 ARTHUR’S HOPE>>>Single win – Sophisticated selectors will tell you that this horse has strong speed. The recent bullet 47.8 work should put this horse on track for today’s outing. AIR TOKEN – I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the trip. I always like to see a horse getting Lasix for the first time. Corrales adds it on this one today. BAND ON TOUR – Cruz was aboard this gelding last out and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This jockey and trainer’s equines have been generating a lucrative ROI. Capuano is good with horses moving to the turf for the first time. You have to figure this gelding is going to be in contention in this race. CANNON’S ROAR – Have to watch for this animal on the grass. Last race at Pimlico, scored a big turf fig. Have to think he can do it again in this event. Looking at this gelding’s running lines, I see he’s almost always in-the-money. This jockey fits well with this animal. The gelding and Marquez together win at a rate of 50 percent. I like the fact that this gelding’s last speed rating, 99, is tops in this field. Last time out, finished fifth on the soft turf at Pimlico. I’d expect a better race in this race>>> superfecta 50c =3-4-8-9
|PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 5|
SONG OF INDY looks strong to best this field. Should be considered a key contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. She has recorded respectable figs under today’s conditions and will most likely fare well against this group. Ayala has a win percent of 16 over the last 30 days. SOPHIE’S ANGEL – Posted a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Is a strong contender based on figures recorded lately under today’s conditions. LETS RACE LADYS – When a trainer brings any animal back this quickly it is a positive signal.
|CHARLES TOWN RACE 7|
LONG GRAY LINE – This gelding is the longer price of the ‘split’ entry from the barn of Runco. BROTHER CORBIN – I like this gelding a lot here. He shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. Groves brings him back again. I advise you stay with this hot gelding. Racing over a familiar track, where he has won multiple times before, I have to put this thoroughbred at the top of my list of top contenders. NEVER COMPROMISE – The jock and handler combination here have a high win percent when they combine forces. He has the top earnings per start. Take a good look at this thoroughbred.
|REMMINGTON PARK RACE 3|
SPEIGHTSVILLE has a respectable shot to take this race. Eramia will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in this event. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. A solid 65 avg Equibase class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge against this group of horses. DARE TO BE WILD – Will almost certainly come out sharp – I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. POPSTER – Competitive shot today with second time Lasix. He should be given a shot given the very good speed figs.
|GULF STREAM RACE 3|
Grand Ave Girl= SINGLE 5/2 ML
|PICKS FROM TIMEFORM US DAVID ARAGONA|
Race 1: 3 – 5 – 2 – 1
Race 2: 2 – 7 – 9 – 8
Race 3: 1/1A – 3 – 5 – 2
Race 4: 8 – 2 – 3 – 6 (Dirt: 13 – 4 – 12 – 8)
Race 5: 1 – 10 – 7 – 8 (Dirt: TBD)
Race 6: 12 – 6 – 7 – 10 (Dirt: 1 – 14 – 15 – 7)
Race 7: 4 – 5 – 3 – 8
Race 8: 2 – 8 – 13 – 12 (Dirt: 1 – 9 – 13 – 7)
Race 9: 6 – 9 – 8 – 10 (Dirt: 16 – 15 – 14 – 6)
RACE 2: STREET VENDOR (#2)
Flip the Script and Street Vendor exit the same maiden event on Aug. 15 at Saratoga. The former runner might attract some support based on his trip, but I prefer the Todd Pletcher second time starter. I’m of the opinion that Flip the Script’s own antics got the best of him last time. He seemingly had run in upper stretch of that race, but Luis Saez could never angle him into the clear as the colt had this head turned, trying to lug in. Importantly, he had gotten a great ground-saving trip up until encountering that stretch traffic, whereas today’s rival Street Vendor was outside on both turns. Aug. 15 was a day when the rails were at 0 feet on the inner turf, and Street Vendor was always racing outside after breaking slowly. He doesn’t possess a quick turn of foot, but he was relentless once Rosario got him into top gear, finishing fastest of all to get up for second. Pletcher is a decent 14 for 51 (27%, $1.51 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters in turf routes over 5 years.A repeat of that performance will make him tough to beat, and he’s trained well out of that race. The other horse that interests me is Daunt, who didn’t take any money on debut, which is understandable for connections who rarely win first time out. He actually ran a respectable race, as he was never inside and stayed on willingly through the stretch. He has a right to do better with that experience under his belt, and is bred to be a good one, out of Grade 3-placed turfer Promotional. I would also use the other Pletcher runner Napa Valley, who has worked much better on the turf since his debut.
Exacta: 2 with 3,7,8,9
Trifecta: 2 with 7,9 with 3,7,8,9
RACE 4: EASY SHOT (#8)
This $25k claimer is very confusing, as there is no clear standout and those with turf form aren’t the easiest to trust. That’s certainly the case with Vettori Kin, who could go favored first off the claim for Rob Atras. His best turf efforts will surely beat this field, but he has no early speed and he’s coming off one of his worst efforts in some time when he was uncompetitive at this level at Saratoga. He was going out for a trainer who rarely wins on the turf at that time. However, Atras is only 3 for 24 (13%, $1.02 ROI) first off the claim on turf, as he does his best work on dirt. I took a somewhat negative view of him, though I acknowledge he can win. Outrageous Bet is more appealing as he’s just getting back to the right level and distance after trying an 11-furlong handicap at Monmouth last time. He didn’t run that badly but conventional route distances are more in his wheelhouse. He appears to have improved since getting claimed by Pat Reynolds and has the tactical speed to work out a decent trip. I’m going in a different direction with Easy Shot. He’s been campaigned primarily on dirt in his career, but his prior attempts over turf are worth some scrutiny. In his turf debut he actually ran very well to be second at the Fair Grounds, just a half-length behind Tell Your Daddy, who has since gone on to become a graded stakes winner. That was a strong effort, but he was subsequently thrown into a pair of even more difficult turf assignments. He was uncompetitive in a very tough allowance race at Churchill in June 2020 and then was badly overmatched behind Factor This in a stakes at Ellis Park. Now he’s been claimed by John Terranova, who doesn’t claim many horses but has had some limited success with new acquisitions. His recent form is better than it appears and I think he could appreciate the surface switch.
Exacta Key Box: 8 with 2,3,6,7
RACE 5: TOGA DANCER (#1)
The horses exiting the off-the-turf fifth race on Aug. 20 at Saratoga need to be discussed, as Sundaeswithsandy and Excursionniste both figure to take some money in this spot. They have decent turf pedigree, as the former is a half-brother to multiple turf winner Crack Shot and the latter is by good turf influence Tourist. However, they’re going to get bet because they possess decent dirt form. Yet this is a turf race, and there are others in here who will get somewhat overlooked based on less appealing form despite having just as much pedigree for grass. One of those is Kingham Hill, who finished far back in that Aug. 20 event. However, he was competing over the wrong surface. He’s by good turf influence Declaration of War and is a half-brother to 3 turf winners. I’m definitely using him, but I’m most interested in a colt who has already tried this surface. Toga Dancer didn’t take much money in his debut earlier in the Saratoga meet, and ran like a horse who needed the race. He was off slowly and lagged at the back of the pack before passing some tired rivals late. He figures to do better with that experience under his belt, and he’s certainly bred to excel at today’s conditions. Furthermore, Michelle Nevin is a solid 5 for 31 (16%, $2.00 ROI) with maiden second time starters on turf over the past 5 years.
Exacta Key Box: 1 with 4,7,8,10
RACE 7: GOT THE GOLD (#4)
Blitz to Win is clearly the one to beat, having earned TimeformUS Speed Figures that would make him formidable here in each of his last three starts. That said, he’s been in spots where he’s seemed like a strong contender before and he’s failed to get the job done. Notably, he’s done most of his best work sprinting and has run the two worst races of his career in routes. Therefore, it’s a little curious that his connections have again entered him to go a mile. He adds blinkers for this, which could get him a little more involved early. However, he’s not the easiest horse to take at a short price. Some may go to V Pattern as the alternative, and he is bred to stretch out as a half-brother to Papa Shot, Sharp Starr, and Speke – all of whom improved going longer on the dirt. That said, he hasn’t shown much in his two career starts and could take some money here given the rider switch to Luis Saez. I prefer Got the Gold, who finished just ahead of him last time. This gelding didn’t do much to distinguish himself when in Linda Rice’s barn over the winter, failing to make an impact in his debut before finishing a dull third against maiden claiming company. He was claimed out of that race by Chris Englehart, and returned 5 months later at Saratoga showing significant improvement. He was off slowly and outrun early but launched an eye-catching late run to get up for second while racing on his wrong lead. Now he’s stretching back out to a mile, but he’s bred to handle it with plenty of stamina pedigree on the bottom side of his pedigree.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 3,5
RACE 8: MASHNEE GIRL (#2)
Get the Candy could go favored here after posting one of the highest speed figures in the field last time out when finishing second at this level at Saratoga. She used her early speed as a weapon from the outside post position and just couldn’t quite fend off a longshot in the late stages. I thought that was an improvement on her maiden victory, when she had everything her own way on the front end and sprinted home over a weaker field. She’s obviously a contender, but there is far more early speed signed on this time and she has to overcome yet another wide draw. That could also be an issue for Blame It On Mary, but at least she’ll be a more enticing price. This filly has only started once on turf, but it was a very good effort. She stalked a blistering early pace that ultimately fell apart and she hung around best of the other speeds through the stretch. She’s been off for a little while but she can factor here if she returns in top form. Given the amount of speed signed on, Tis a Pity seems like the logical closer. She was somewhat compromised by having to make a wide move at this level last time in a race where winner Jill’s a Hot Mess snuck up the rail with a great trip. That said, her form is now exposed as she improved on her visually impressive maiden win against weaker. I’m using her, but she’s going to be much shorter than the 7-1 she went off at last time. I’m getting more creative with my top pick. Mashnee Girl figures to be a generous price in here and she has a lot to prove as she returns from an extended layoff. Her speed figures say she’s too slow, but those were earned when she was a 2-year-old an competing in the wrong races. She was always meant for turf last year but was badly overmatched the one time she got to try it in the Miss Grillo. She was never going to be competitive there, against some legitimate open company fillies while going a distance that is too far. Now she’s returning from the layoff and appears to be working like a horse who has really stepped forward during the time away. I like that maiden-breaking jockey Jose Lezcano climbs back aboard, and she figures to be somewhat ignored in the wagering.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 8,10,12,13
|CHURCHILL DOWNS NIGHT CARD ED DEROSA PICKS THURSDAY 23 SEPT|
Gelding w/ propensity for trouble should get the best of these at this level
Turf to dirt a strong move for this barn, as gelding goes one turn on dirt for first time in more than 9 months. Underneath key
Sharp gate to wire winner last out off 6 1/2-week layoff. Trainer is 16% w/ +ROI off a win and 5 weeks back for this augurs well for encore.
Gaffalione up for the return to 5 1/2 furlongs where gelding does have a win intrigues
Willing to give this daughter of Data Link a try on dirt, as she’s clearly fastest of this bunch. Drop in class and hot hands of Talamo should help as well
4Beyond a Million
Made lead in lone route atempt and now daughter of a Derby winner out of the daughter of a Derby winner gets 2 turns for the first time. Could be a surprise speed threat at a big price
Trainer hasn’t had a debut win since 2015, so just running par early on debut enough to excite me. Plus this starter group not really a step up despite venue change
One of two American Freedom fillies with big chances today (see Tubman later). He’s 25% with his debut runners
1Red Hot Mama
Reunites w/ Gaffalione who got some speed out of this now-gelding two races back routing at Churchill
Back to dirt for Moliere, who just couldn’t keep up with the turfers last out, but he drafted a long and came home fine so seems fit
2Gimme Some Mo
10Harmon Killer Brew
Minnesota-bred received the coveted triple-digit Brisnet Late Pace Rating on debut. Those are automatic bet backs for me
Gets to stretch out after showing plenty of speed in early career outings
We’ve seen this movie before from trainer Meah when Jungle Juice ran behind Bell’s the One & Sconsin in the Roxelane before returning 5 days later to win an AOC.
Cuts back to 6f and returns to Churchill–both variables have produced (separate) wins during her career
Sharp on debut against similar types this spring. Should benefit from the time and distance
LNJ Foxwoods wins the name game for today, as this filly is by American Freedom, a 25% debut sire.
|REMINGTON PARK SEPT 23 |
Race 1 $25,000 Maiden Claiming 5-1/2 Furlongs
6 – Knighted Had some bad luck in last 2 races but was 2nd in his debut @LS
7 – Autocratic Quick 5-furlong work on 9-9
4 – Jerry’s Eighty Solid string of workouts for his debut
1 – Brody’s Streak This colt has good connections
$1 Exacta Box: 6-7-4 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 6-7-4-1 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Pentastic Pick 5: 6-7-4 / 4-12 / 9-7-5 / 7-6-1 / 1-4 Cost: $54.00 Pick the winners of races 1-5.
Race 2 $15,000 Claiming 5 Furlongs (turf)
4 – Got Glee Allowance winner in her last start
12 – Ignis 7 out of 10 in the $$ this year
11 – Lynah Rink Troubled trip in her last start & should improve
5 – Samborita Drops in class for first turf try
$1 Exacta Box: 4-11-12 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 4-11-12-5 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order
$.50 Premier Pick 4: 4-12 / 9-7-5 / 7-6-1 / 1-4 Cost: $18.00 Pick the winners of races 2-5.
Race 3 Maiden 6-1/2 Furlongs
9 – Prime Code Solid workouts for debut from top connections
7 – Speightsville Improves in his 2nd start
5 – Lab Rat Nice workouts for his debut
1 – Dare to Be Wild Improved with every start & might like the longer distance
$1 Exacta Box: 9-7-5 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 9-7-5-1 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Kickoff Pick 3: 9-7-5 / 7-6 / 1-4 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 3-5.
Race 4 Allowance 6-1/2 Furlongs
7 – Dipping In 2
nd @ this level & distance & keeps Cabrera
6 – Kallie Sioux Won her first start of the year on 9-3 @this distance & level
1 – Lingering Promise Finished just a neck behind the #6 in their last start
8 – Stormieis Blue Winless in 2 years but usually gets in the money
$1 Exacta Box: 7-6-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 7-6-1-8 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 7-6 / 1-4 / 10-5 Cost: $4.00 Pick the winners of races 4-6.
Race 5 $7,500 Claiming 5-1/2 Furlongs
1 – Hunny Hush Claimed from her last start finishing 2nd as the favorite
4 – Dancin All Alone Tried turf last out back on the main & to more competitive level
9 – Storm Traffic Improved in her last start for 2nd
6 – Hatchet Gurl Returns to more competitive level
$1 Exacta Box: 1-4-9 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta: 1-4-9-6 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 1-4 / 10-5 / 2-1 Cost: $4.00 Pick the winners of races 5-7.
Race 6 $15,000 Claiming 1 Mile (turf)
10 – Really Slow Don’t let the name fool you he was 3rd in last start after wide trip
5 – Old Sot 4 out of 6 in the $$ on the turf
3 – Who’s Cheatin Who Maiden winner on the turf last time as the favorite
1 – Mucho Bling Fills out the Superfecta
$1.00 Exacta Box: 10-5-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 10-5-3-1 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Pick 3: 10-5 / 2-1 / 2-7 Cost: $4.00 Pick the winners of races 6-8.
$.50 Primetime Pick 4: 10-5 / 2-1 / 2-7 / 10-4-6-12 Cost: $16.00 Pick the winners of races 6-9.
Race 7 Allowance 1 Mile & 70 Yards
2 – Jungle Runner Back to the main track where he ran 2nd & 3rd @LS
1 – Digital Been facing tougher company
4 – Sports Fan 5-3rds this year @ this level
7 – Flexati Posted a couple of sharp workouts for first start since July
$1.00 Exacta Box: 2-1-4 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 2-1-4-7 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
$.50 Last Chance Pick 3: 2-1 / 2-7 / 10-4-6-12 Cost: $8.00 Pick the winners of races 7-9.
Race 8 Allowance 1 Mile
2 – Absaroka Sharp win vs open company in last start
7 – Don’t Tell Noobody Stakes winner last year vs Oklahoma bred company
3 – Great Faces Back to his best distance after finishing 3rd sprinting
5 – Rockport Kat Don’t ever count this guy out
$1.00 Exacta Box: 2-7-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 2-7-3-5 Cost: $2.40 All 4 horses must finish in the top 4 in any order.
Race 9 Allowance 1 Mile (turf)
10 – Twilight Curfew 2
nd as the favorite in last start & will pick up Cabrera in the irons
4 – Courtly Likes the distance question is will she like the turf
6 – Long Gone Okie This girl should love the turf
12 – Billie G 3
rd in her first start on the turf just draws tough post tonight
$1.00 Exacta Box: 10-4-6 Cost: $6.00 2 out of the 3 horses must finish 1st and 2nd in any order.
$.10 Superfecta Box: 10-4-6-12 Cost: $2.40
|STATESIDE SEPT 18|
|LOS ALOMITOS RACE COURSE|
RACE 1-#3 CANDY RUNNERIdle since finishing second after setting
the pace as the favorite nearly five months ago at Oaklawn
Park. Improved after being claimed for $50,000 from Donnie
Von Hemel out of her dull debut, but has prepped nicely for
her return and should come back firing for very productive
#5 DORITAS HAPPY. Back to the main track for first since
splitting the field going this distance on turf a little over four
months ago. Even effort in lone local try during the 2020
Winter meet and has six listed drills prepping for her return.
Not impossible 3-5 BOX Exacta 1pt
RACE 2- NEUTRINO win 3-6
RACE 3-# ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD WIN Single 1pt SAVE 1-5
RACE 4-#5 FUN COUPONS
RACE 5-#3 SUE ETTAS GHOST- WIN
RACE 6-#5 NOTRE DAME- SINGLE =1PT 5-1
RACE 7-6-5-1 BOX EXOTICS-
RACE 8-#3 MONTEBELLO WIN
RACE 9- 5-7-4 Box 6 bets $ 1x=$6
RACE 1 -LONG DISTANCE LOVE
RACE 2-MISS TAP DANCE
RACE 3-COST A FORTUNE
RACE 4-HELLO BEAUTIFUL
RACE 5-GATOR BITE
RACE 6- MRS ORB
RACE 8-JALEN JOURNEY
RACE 9- PHAT MAN =SINGLE 1PT
RACE 10- SHES MO BETTER=SINGLE 2PTS PLACE WIN 6/4- WIN BET CURRENTLY 6/1 i feel the the place bet is safer but win bet is not a bad bet either for smaller
>>>SHE’S MO BETTER – Jockey hops up aboard after getting to know the beautiful animal by riding last time around the track. That’s always a good tip. Looking at the past performances on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this animal. I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per start in here today. A horse coming back this rapidly after a good outing is a good signal. SWEET GRACIE – It looks like Gomez had to learn about this filly on August 18th when riding her for the first time. Back aloft again today. This filly is in good form. Ended up first on Aug 18th superfecta bet.[4,8] with [4,8] with [3,5,7] with [2,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $24
|BELMONT PARK PICKS -TIMEFORM DAVID ARAGONA|
Race 1: 1 – 2 – 7 – 3
Race 2: 6 – 2 – 7 – 4
Race 3: 2 – 8 – 4 – 3
Race 4: 4 – 5 – 6 – 3
Race 5: 6 – 2 – 8 – 13
Race 6: 1 – 3 – 4 – 8
Race 7: 8 – 6 – 11 – 7
Race 8: 9 – 3 – 5 – 6
Race 9: 7 – 6 – 1 – 2
Race 10: 2 – 8 – 4 – 3
Race 11: 7 – 2 – 8 – 3
RACE 1: SMOKIN’ T (#1)
RACE 5: SALS DREAM GIRL (#6)
RACE 6: HOT FUDGE (#1)
RACE 7: SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY (#8)
RACE 9: HARAJUKU (#7)
RACE 10: YIBIR (#2)
RACE 11: ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE (#7)
|LONE STAR PARK RACE 10|
My choice for this event is RANGER THE STRANGER. He has been running soundly as of late while recording strong speed figures. Garnered a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. With a nice class figure average of 80, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group. THIS GAME IS REAL – With Urieta in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this race. Had one of the best speed figures of this group of animals in his last race. DAK ATTAK – Is a solid choice – given the 69 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Shows solid speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field
|CENTURY MILE RACE 6|
#5 SMILE MARY SINGLE WIN=
SMILE MARY – Looking at today’s class rating, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier group than last time out at Century Mile. This filly is in nice physical condition. Ended up third on September 4th. This jock and conditioner have a lucrative ROI when they team up. The 46 last race speed rating looks sound on paper.
|Belmont Race 8|
#2 ESOTICA Win single
|STATESIDE HORSERACING PLAYS SEPTEMBER 16-|
|Laurel park |
#5 MY MAGGIE MOO
#8 CHROMEPLATED HEART
#1 NEW FRONTIER
#3 SCAREDY CAT >>> SINGLE 3/1 1PT
#10 AMAZON QUEEN
#12 DECORATED >>>SINGLE 3/1 1PT
#1 BROKERS REWARD- SINGLE 2/1 1PT
|ARLINGTON RACE 2|
SINGLE>> #1 TIZALADYBUG 13/2 Currently 1pt eway Single
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TIZALADYBUG is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIZALADYBUG: Horse has the highest Track Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Hors e has the highest average Class Rating at the distance/surface.
|INDIANA DOWNS RCE 1|
My selection in this competition is ROYAL TO BE and could score at a price in here. Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the halfway point of the competition. MARINA NIGHT – Esquivel and West are a strong pair for returns. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by West have shown solid results lately. HOPPESTRY – Should keep the impressive string of finishing positions intact this time out. Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying respectable figures lately and an average speed figure of 61 under similar conditions.
|THISTLEDOWN RACE 8|
SINGLE WIN>>>#5 HOLDONTOYOURTIARA (3/1) 1PT>>> I really like sprinters that make a fast turnaround. This filly is in fine form. Ended up third on September 6th
|EVANGLALINE DOWNS RACE 7|
4 KING OF THE TESTO
MOMENT – Jockey jumped on this gelding’s back for the first time on Sep 1st. Should know the equine even better in today’s contest. We have lots of early speed with this steed. He could wire this field. KING OF THE TESTO – This thoroughbred coming off a good race in the last month or so is a strong challenger in my opinion. A winning percentage the likes of what Cotto and Bourgeois have achieved together is tremendous. Just check out his most recent fig, 83. That one fits well in this bunch. ZENUCCI – Thornton and Broberg have had fabulous success together over the last year….
|HORSE RACING STATESIDE SEPT 15 WEDNESDAY|
|REMMINGTON PARK RACE 6|
Race Type: Lone Stalker. EXCETERA is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY GURU ANGLES * JUSTPLAINJANE: Horse has the highest Track Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Class Rating at the distance/surface. EXCETERA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track-Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
|DELAWARE PARK RACE 1|
GRAN MICHELLE seems to be the bet in here. Overall the speed figures of this racer look formidable in this competition. Has ran solidly in dirt sprint races. She looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. MOON ME AGAIN – Ran a sharp last race. Is a strong contender based on figs put up as of late under today’s conditions. WORKINONBEINSINGLE – Has raced solidly in dirt sprint races. Has been running well lately and ought to be up near the lead early on.
|INDIANA DOWNS RACE 6|
TALE OF FAME is my choice. This entrant has been consistently racing well as of late. Has to be given consideration versus this group of horses in this race displaying quite good numbers lately and an average Equibase speed fig of 91 under similar conditions. Recent figures for the jockey – 24 win percent – make this gelding stand out in this group of animals. ROB THE RICH – Conditioner has strong win rate (20 percent) at this distance and surface.
|CHARLES TOWN RACE 6|
STRONG LIKE BULL – Starting from the inside, this animal should have a distinct edge. His early pace setting style should serve him well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs. Gelding’s last morning work was second fastest of the day for the distance. Whitacre and Jackson partnered together are a horseplayer’s friend. This horse loves the track here at Charles Town. ZAINO BOYZ – Have to like the way Davis has raced this colt back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he’ll run well today. Davis brings him right back. I propose you stay with this strong colt. You have to always check out this type of early pace setter with an inside post in a sprint on a bullring. BLUE PLAID – This gelding is in fine form. Ran first on August 20th. Araujo rode this thoroughbred for the first time in the last race and comes right back in today’s contest. Past performance lines show this thoroughbred with three improving Equibase speed figures. Araujo should be on a live one right here in this race. ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO – This horse absolutely loves this oval. All his wins have been here at Charles Town. Jock jumped on this gelding’s back for the first time on Aug 13th. Should ‘know’ the animal even better in today’s contest. Here is a true horse for the course. Loves the track here at Charles Town. Putting our cash on #1 STRONG LIKE BULL to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/1 or better though
BOX Box [1,2,7]
|PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 2|
EAGLES PALACE – Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. KING OF THE RING – Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a key factor. This horse is ranked number 1 in this bunch..
|HORSERACING WAGERING AND BETTING ADVICE- SINGLES EXOTICS,|
|STATESIDE TUESDAY FLAT RACING GURU WAGERING BETS 14 SEPT|
|RACE 1 -12 MIDNIGHT BST START-|
Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
DESERT DOTTY – Always beware the longer priced horse when a trainer has an ‘uncoupled’ entry in a race. Based on her last TrackMaster turf number alone, I’m going to play this horse. THUMP – Personally, I wouldn’t worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should improve in this field, with some respectable odds. MIDNIGHT LEAP – I just may give this one a chance. Should rebound off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the end.
|FINGER LAKES -RACE 2|
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * STARSHIP OREO: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Power Rating. Horse has the h ighest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TRISAETUM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackPower Rating. NEVER EVOLVED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ra nks in the top three in Track Power Rating.
|PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 1|
MOON HILL – Jock hops right back atop after getting to know the beautiful animal by riding in the last race. That’s always a good indicator. CLEARLY SMASHING – Nice return on investment for this jockey and handler twosome. Wismer drops her down to this class level. You don’t need too much more handicapping knowledge to think this one will be one to beat at this level. That 74 fig this filly recorded in her last clash tells me she’s a key player this time.
|INDIANNA GRAND DOWNS RACE 9|
I’ve got to go with ALTERED. Could provide positive gains based on competitive recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 58. Could best this field based on the speed rating – 71 – of his last contest. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 76, and has to be given a shot in this race. AMERICAN NIGHTMARE – Has been running well and has among the best speed in the race for today’s distance. Garcia has well above average dividends at this distance/surface. GOT LOST – Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. Always difficult to beat Klopp and Pompell working together, winning 16 percent of their races.
|TONIGHTS PIC RACES AND SELECTIONS FROM RDS|
|PRESQUE ISLE TICKET|
Race 5: 2,5,6,7
Race 6: 1,7
Race 7: 1,2,3,6
Race 8: 1,3,4,8
Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)
FIND OUT WHY
Race 7: 5,6,7,8
Race 8: 1,6,7,10
Race 9: 1,3,10,11
Race 10: 2,6
Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)
GET OUR FULL CARD PREMIUM PICKS
ARIZONA DOWNS TICKET
Race 6: 1,2,5
Race 7: 1,3,4,8
Race 8: 1,2,6,7
Race 9: 9,10
Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)
GET OUR FULL CARD PREMIUM PICKS
INDIANA GRAND TICKET
Race 6: 4,5,6,10
Race 7: 1,3,5,8
Race 8: 3,4
Race 9: 3,5,9,10
Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)
Race 5: 1,2,4
Race 6: 1,7
Race 7: 1,2,3,6
Race 8: 1,2,6,7
Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent
|LOUISIANA DOWNS TICKET|
Race 4: 4,5,8,9
Race 5: 4,5
Race 6: 1,2,3,7
Race 7: 1,6,8
Ticket Cost: $48 (.50 cent)
|BELTERRA PARK TICKET|
Race 5: 2,4
Race 6: 4,5
Race 7: 1,2,3,6
Race 8: 2,4,5,6
Ticket Cost: $32 (.50 cent)
|PENN NATIONAL TICKET|
Race 5: 1,2,4,5
Race 6: 2,3
Race 7: 2,3
Race 8: 1,4,6,7
Ticket Cost: $32 (.50 cent)
Race 5: 7
Race 6: 2,3
Race 7: 1,2,4,7
Race 8: 1,2,3,7
Ticket Cost: $16 (.50 cent)
GET OUR FULL CARD PREMIUM PICKS
GET OUR FULL CARD PREMIUM PICK
|CANTERBURY PARK TICKET|
Race 6: 2,3,6,8
Race 7: 2,3,9,11
Race 8: 2,6
Race 9: 2,3,4,6
Ticket Cost: $64 (.50 cent)
|MONDAY-SEPT 13 MOUNTAINEER|
|RACE 1>>>12 MIDNIGHT BST |
#3 BRET AT CADDIES 15/2 1PT WIN & 1PT PLACE
High % Jockey -Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters- Hot Jockey in last 7 days (16 4-2-3) -Ran 2nd in last race
#2 CASK 6/1 1PT PLACE WIN
High % Jockey -Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (4 2-0-0) Won last race (MNR 08/29 8f Turf fm MdSpWt) -Best Turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed
|RACE 3-#6 ALPHA DOG WIN|
Highest speed figure at today’s distance – High % trainer -Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters -May improve at the shorter distance -Finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in last race-
|RACE 4- #3 WINK NOD- 9/4>> 1/2PT #4 TAPTAPTAP 7/2>> 1/2PT >>Split stakes Box -3-4|
|FINGER LAKES RACE 2|
SINGLE #5 Guru Angles>>>: Dominant Front-runner. FASTELLE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * * FASTELLE: Horse has a Track Rating”+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest Track-Rating.
|DELAWARE PARK RACR 6|
#2 SUPER DUDE (ML=5/1)
#3 CONFESSOR (ML=5/2)
#1 SHOO SHINE (ML=7/2)
#4 COAL TRUTH (ML=9/2)
SUPER DUDE – SINGLE WIN 1PT 5/1
This gelding is in the top spot in earnings per start. Check out this animal in the saddling enclosure. Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a good race on August 16th. CONFESSOR – This gelding is in fine form. Ended up first on August 25th. Everybody’s got their favorite tracks, but if you ask this thoroughbred, I think his answer would be Delaware Park. SHOO SHINE – I really like that last effort on August 28th at Monmouth Park where he finished first. The return on investment when Castillo and Dini get together is out of sight. This thoroughbred has done very well at this distance. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the PPs, it seems like he likes to visit the winner’s circle on different ovals. COAL TRUTH – Compton has this gelding spotted in the perfect race.
|PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 2|
CYBERBURG has a formidable shot to take this race. Garnered a respectable speed fig last time out. Should be used in the exotic wagers. TRANS MISSISSIPPI – Is hard not to look at given the company run in recently. Has strong speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this event. PUFFER FISH – I can’t pass on this mare given one of the most favorable jockey and conditioner combos on the grounds. Rice has this mare travelling well and is a formidable selection based on the quite good speed figures earned in sprint races as of late.
|PRAIRE MEADOWS RACE 7|
HOWMUCHISTOOMUCH is the best bet in this outing especially at 10/1. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this group of horses in this race. Decent choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Have to bet on this filly with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint races. SIR DEPUTY – Must be carefully examined in here if only for the very strong speed figure posted in the last race. Is a very solid contender based on figures garnered lately under today’s conditions. THROWN FOR A LOUPE – Will make a strong outing versus this field. Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today’s distance.
|LOUISIANNA DOWNS RACE 3|
SINGLE WIN 7/2 ML- #3 EM’S MISS PRADO – This horse has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the distance-surface. I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly. I’m focusing on the class of this horse, and this one is the ‘classiest’ of the bunch. Just see her latest fig, 53. That one looks good in this field. Exacta >>>3-6
|SUNDAY-SEPT 12 LOS ALOMITOS- LAUREL PARK Maryland Jockey Club|
|RACE 3-#6 Torres del Paine 5/2 -single 1pt|
|RACE 7-#7 MY MY GIRL 7/4 1pt-SINGLE|
|RACE 8 -2-9-10-12|
|LOS ALOMITOS THOROUBREDS, RACECOURSE|
|RACE 1-#4 MASHAD FALLS -6/4, SINGLE|
|RACE 2- 4-3 Boxed exacta 1pt Misawa -Gordy 4/1 – 7/4|
|RACE 3- 2-6-4 trifecta $2 & 2-4-6 trifecta $2|
|RACE 4-#4 Nircham 7/4 win 4-5-3|
|RACE 5-#2 SUMMER DOWN-2/1 – 2-5|
|RACE 6-#5 I KNOW CASH FLOW-5/2 = SINGLE 5-8 Box exacta-|
|RACE 7- #6 WHATSITOYA SINGLE-5/1 -6-3-2 $2 TRIFECTA|
|RACE 8-#1 BIG FISH 8/1 is the Lone sophomore in the lineup has been away since|
cashing at 4-1 in his first main track route in the California Cup
Derby nearly eight months ago. The gelding has six listed drills prepping for his return and has been 1-2-3 in over half of his races, but
this will be his first attempt vs. older rivals, so might be an outing
away from showing his best stuff. then again may not be. 8/1 is to big I wouldnt trust to much public money though with this rider, he likes to surprise? for all hes a high % er
|RACE 9- 7-4-3|
I’ve got to go with EMILY WHO ><PLACE WIN. She has been racing solidly as of late while recording strong speed figures. This filly looks strong for this event since Jeansonne has a solid winning percentage with horses going this distance. In this field, this horse is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint events. KIMBERLY’S JACKPOT>><<SINGLE – The twosome of Guerrero/Wilson has one of the strongest ROI percentages in this field. She has a good opportunity in this event as handler, Wilson, has very solid win clip with horses going this distance. THURSDAY MORNING ><<>SHOW WIN– Medina has her trained strongly to break sharply out of the starting gate. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of respectable win percentage – 15 percent – at this distance & surface.
|LOS ALOMITOS (QUARTER HORSES) not the main track which is above|
RACE THRU THE FIRE is the best bet in this race. Her 78 average has this filly with among the best Speed Figures for this event. The averageclass figure alone makes this one a contender. She has put up very strong numbers under today’s conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group. JM WHO KNEW – Looks competitive to be on the front end at the first call. This pony enters today’s affair now going off Lasix. EYEM BACK – Is a solid choice – given the 72 speed rating from his most recent race. Look for a very good pace improvement from this animal who enters now going off Lasix today.
#8 FOURTH DESIGN (ML=9/2)
#3 CATALOGUE (ML=5/1)
#7 BLANK IT (ML=8/5)
FOURTH DESIGN – Jockey hops right back aloft after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding in the last race. That’s always a great angle. You’ll be making money right and left by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/conditioner combination. Hasn’t run at today’s distance recently but does have a rating recorded last time he tried this trip good enough to win. CATALOGUE – As long as Pusac keeps this racer off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a huge winner. When a pony drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but certainly could make the difference. BLANK IT – This gelding is in fine form, having run a strong race on August 27th, finishing second. This gelding earned a good speed fig of 77 in his last race. That speed rating should be high enough to triumph today.
#2 DEEPINGREEN (ML=5/2)
#1 ROCKET POWER (ML=3/1)
DEEPINGREEN – The August 22nd race at Emerald Downs was at a class level of (84). Dropping to a lower class rank considerably, so he should be in a good spot. This gelding won at this distance on July 1st and was at a higher class than today. This equine brings in a lot of cash per race around the track. Uppermost in this clash. ROCKET POWER – This thoroughbred coming off a sharp performance in the last thirty days is a contender in my book. The latest speed rating of 74 is the top last race rating in the bunch.
#3 WB JAMMIN SINGLE 100/30 1PT
Drops in class today -Eligible to improve in 2nd start since layoff -Highest speed figure at today’s distance -Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
|STAESIDE HORSERACING PLAYS- LAUREL PARK- LOS ALOMITOS SAT SEPT 11 2021|
|RACE 4 -7-6-8-4|
|RACE 5- SINGLE – #8 ELFS-2/1 1PT >><<<8-2-4-9|
|RACE 6-SINGLE-#7 HUFFLEPUFF 2/1 1PT|
|RACE 8-#9 MATTA 5/4 -SINGLE|
|RACE 9-#1 MUCHACYO MACHO 6/4 -SINGLE>><<<PETES NIGHT Save 5/1|
|LOS ALOMITOS- SOUTHERN CALI- SEPT 11|
|RACE 1- MONGOLIAN WINDOW-4-2-3|
|RACE 2- 1 TRAFFIC STOPPER -1-3-5|
|RACE 3- SPEEDY GIG- 5-2-3-1|
|RACE 5- #1 DEMOCRAT -SINGLE 1PT 11/10>><< 1-5 – SAVE 5-1|
|RACE 6-#3 KIND BUT SHE LIES=SINGLE -1PT>><<3-4-6 BOX TRIFECTA|
|RACE 7- 6-2-3-7|
|RACE 9- #5 KAMUI- WIN 5-6 Exacta -5-6-3/8 win 5 – box 6-3-8 trifecta=$6|
|FRIDAY SEPT 10 HORSERACING TIPS USA- LOS ALOMITOS- LAUREL PARK|
|RACE 1, #5 PAINT ME LUCKY, #6 FULL DRAW>>>> Jessica Pfyfer rides this track well when they come back here after Del mar closing Night, its a very fast dirt track and they do tend to go off to fast she really timed her runs well last yr here- 5-6-4 |
#5Her Pefect Vision – homebred debuts for the Wong-barn with a 5-furlong Golden Gate bullet in tow; Stanford has connected with 4 of his 16 beginners while the unraced Street Boss mare
has had both her starters reach the enclosure; looks very live. TRIFECTA>> 5-1-2
RACE 3- #4 You’re My Boy Kat 11/8 1pt – Most experienced member of the field
will be making his fifth start since debuting here July 5 when distant
third in race in which his stablemate – and recent Del Mar winner –
Double the Gold Hold was second. The cut back should help as he’s
been 2-3 in his three races around one turn. Have him to defeat =trifecta >>4-7-5-1
#2 RED VALOR 1PT WIN 5/2 . Red Valor – Comes into this with some impressive numbers – he’s-won three win a row with Cedillo, he’s 2-for-2 over this mile course
and he’s been red-tagged in three of the last four while yielding nice
results for each new barn; now with Knapp, who has clicked with 7
of his last 34 fresh purchases with a winning ROI in tow; razor sharp
and could very well keep the streak alive>>Trifecta 2-6-3
RACE 8- 8-9-2-4
|LAUREL PARK MaryLand Jockey Club|
Race 1- 3-1-6
Race 2- #5 Wick SINGLE 4/5
Race 3-MR BOMBASTIC- 9/4 7-5
Race 4-#6 HOME BREW 6/1- SINGLE FCAST=6-1
Race 6-#9 SPOTTED BULL-6/1 SINGLE =9-8-7
Race 8-14-12 -4
|THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 9 USA HORSERACING PLAYS, WAGERING|
RACE 1- #1 SHINEY 11/8 1PT 1-2-7 trifecta
Key Guru Angles here in Race 1>> High % Jockey -Highest last race speed rating -Highest speed figure at today’s distance -Hot Tnr/Jky comb.. in last 14 days (16 4-2-2)
-High % trainer- Won last race (CBY 08/12 8f Dirt ft OC16000) work tab Breezed 4f sept 1 in 48-74- best work of the Bunch? is no 7 can imagine 48.36 sept 1 no 2 kinetic swagger 48.56 sept 1
RACE 2- #1 LUVIN BULLIES 2/1 2PTS
Key Guru Angles>>> Highest last race speed rating – Rail post is winning at 20% clip – Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (7 4-1-2) – High % trainer -Switches to a high % jockey – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters – May improve in 4th start since layoff – Beaten only 1.10 lengths in last start
RACE 3- MOREISBETTER- 1/1 1PT WIN
KEY GURU ANGLES!! High % Jockey -Highest last race speed rating -Drops in class today
-Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (16 4-2-2) -High % trainer -May improve while returning to Dirt
RACE 4-#1 NOTEPAD 7/2 1/2PT WIN 1/2PT PLACE
KEY GURU ANGLES!! Highest last race speed rating- High % trainer – Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters -Finished 3rd vs similar in last race.
|INDIANA GRAND DOWNS RACE 7|
* KEY ANGLES * BENNY BOO BOO: Horse has the highest TrackRating. Horse has the highest ave rage Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TALK FAST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse’s third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. GOOD EATS CAFE: Horse ranks in the top thr ee in Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GO EARLY STAY LATE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Power Rating.
|THISTLEDOWN RACE 4|
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD looks decent to best this field. Rivera should be able to get this filly to break out sharply here. Could beat this field given the 53 speed figure earned in her last outing. I would like this filly on the jockey and handler numbers alone. TALE OF THE LYON – Wagerers should note that this racer runs with second time Lasix today. Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. PROPHETESS – One of the most respectable win percentages between this rider and conditioner make this filly dangerous.
|KENTUCKY DOWNS RACE 1|
YABA DABA DIVA – My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. The July 18th race at Ellis Park was at a class level of (84). Dropping to a lower level drastically, so she should be in a good spot to take this race. You should throw out that last event at Ellis Park on a sloppy track where she finished off the board. Should do well in this event without a sloppy track. COUNTRY TIME – Looking at today’s Equibase class figure, this campaigner is encountering an easier field than last time around the track at Indiana Downs. Coming off a sixth place finish at Indiana Downs, some may pass this horse. I’m not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent morning line odds today.
|LAUREL PARK RACE 3- MJC|
#5 CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY (7/2)
#4 BIG RINNE (6/1)
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY – Was in a $10,000 Claiming race at Colonial Downs last time around the track. That race had an Equibase class figure of 90 and he is moving down in this race. A certain strong challenger. When this jockey and trainer combine forces you have to take a look. Lopez and Tessore have been great together. This gelding garnered a strong speed fig of 79 in his last race. That figure should be strong enough to win today. BIG RINNE – I like to play this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a strong contest within the last month. Karamanos is up for another race today after sitting atop this animal for the initial time on August 17th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. A little change in scenery has got to do this one well. Reading the past performances, it seems like he likes to visit the winner’s circle at different racing venues. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He’s had enough races since the layoff and should be fit.
LAUREL PARK-MARYLAND JOCKEY CLUB
RACE 3 -5-4-1-2
RACE 8 #4 ROMP =SINGLE
RACE 9-#3 KIT KELLER =SINGLE
|GULFSTREAM RACE 5|
|WEDNESDAY SEPT 8TH STATESIDE HORSERACING PLAYS|
|MOUNTAINEER 12 PM/12.01 AM|
|RACE 1 #4 SASSY JUSTICE 9/2 1pt, won here Last day, switches toTurf this will keep him fresh, Turf dirt comes all the same, best turf speed fig best last out speed fig, 4-2-1 |
two nice winners from four here last night 9/4 7/2 and unlucky 2nd 4/1 from three tips
|Race 2, #3 SKYDIGGER ANDY = DYNAFORM Split bets 9/1 7/1 great value plays- 3-9-7-6, I thought the tip ran his first promising race here last day on the Turf and I noted that run and here we are again at 9/1- Dynaform ran a good race here August 4 and then ran at Presque on the dirt back here on the Turf i am expecting a Bold performance swithing to this Jockey, i am going with that Hunch feeling Handicappers get and leaving the stats anf figs at home|
|RACE 3 CAPTAIN YINNER- RC OWENS Box 3-5|
|Race 4 #5 LOW TYRE 4/1 1PT WIN|
|RACE 5 >>BOX>> 5-2-4 = 6 BETS $6|
PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 1
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * THEYKEEPONCOMIN: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PATIENT DIGNA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Rating. ANNIE UP BUCK: Horse has a Track Master Rating, “+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SAYSO: Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
|THISTLEDOWN RACE 7|
|INDIA GRAND DOWNS RACE 5|
KID SHELLEEN should be supported as the wager in here. He has to be considered given the very good speed figures. Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figs of this group of animals in his last race. It’s a good signal that Contreras is using Esquivel on this horse. PRIORITIZATION – Players should note that this racer runs with second time Lasix today. With a competitive 74 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition. SIMON PETER – Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet – strong speed figures (76 average) at today’s distance and surface recently. With a quite good 76 speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race.
|CHARLES TOWN RACE 4|
#6 AUBURN MILL – If this gelding gets out of the gate cleanly, he’ll be tough to catch. This gelding is in good form. Ran first on August 22nd. Multiple wins in this horse’s life, all at Charles Town. Could add another win in today’s race.
|FINGER LAKES RACE 1|
COLOR CHART is tough to overlook as the bet in here. This mare has posted some nice finishes in her last couple of starts. Is worth a look and may be a wager – strong speed figures (65 average) at today’s distance and surface lately. With a solid rider who has won at a very strong 33 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top picks. HOLMDEL PARK – With a sound 69 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today’s contest. Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the means to a turnaround. SMART BROAD – Has been running very well and has among the best speed in the race for today’s distance. She has a formidable distance/surface win record – 3 out of 7.
MONDAY SEPT 6 USA STATESIDE HORSERACING PLAYS
|MONDAY LABOUR DAY HOLIDAY SARATOGA DEL MAR RACING PLUS MORE SEPT 6|
|DEL MAR MONDAY SEPT 6TH|
|BEST BET: Colosi (1st race)BRAD FREE DRF- CALIFORNAIN HANDICAPPER DRFTV|
Colosi 2. Jumper 3. Luck of the Draw
Closing day of the Del Mar summmer meet, post time 1:30 p.m. Los Alamitos fall meet begins on Friday. COLOSI should be tough returning to two turns
first off the claim by Peter Miller. The gelding ran okay for fourth last out in a sprint, and won sprinting as recently as January, but he seems better running
long. His versatile style should lead to a good trip just off the pace, his figures early this year are high enough for this $25k claiming level. Miller is 36
percent f.o.c. in dirt routes the past five years; he and jockey Flavien Prat were the most productive trainer-jockey combo of summer, 12-for-38 into the
weekend. JUMPER makes his California debut f.o.c. by Bob Hess and returning to the footing (dirt) on which he ran fast races in spring at Oaklawn Park.
Blinkers on. Multi-surface veteran LUCK OF THE DRAW fits off his spring form in Kentucky; FEAST goes long for the first time and likely will set the
Percolate 2. Picota 3. Il Capitano
A pair of European imports top this turf route for maiden 2yos; PERCOLATE gets the nod over PICOTA in a close call. PERCOLATE showed tenacity
finishing a sharp second in his career debut at Sandown Park in England, a brawl of a race in which there was a lot of bumping the final quarter-mile.
PERCOLATE kept fighting to the end, and ran well. Full brother to graded winner Pantsonfire, PERCOLATE can fire first out in the U.S. PICOTA also ran
well overseas, in the money all three starts in England. His trainer excels with Euro-imports. The horse that defeated PICOTA last out won again two starts
later; the horse that defeated PERCOLATE won again (via disqualification) three starts later. IL CAPITANO looks best of the locals, based on his last-out
second when he set the pace over an anti-speed Del Mar turf course and finished six lengths clear of third. Blinkers off this time; the course has been fair
recently to all running styles.
Star Sailor 2. Magnificent 3. Barbwire
STAR SAILOR scratched from a salty maiden sprint on Saturday to run in this two-turn maiden race, A seven-start maiden, he runs well around two turns
and this field is not as tough as the Saturday sprint. Solid work pattern for his first start in four months. MAGNIFICENT, distant runner-up both dirt routes,
is gradually improving and has a recent-racing edge over the top choice. The horse that defeated MAGNIFICENT last out (Bobby Bo) returned to finish
second in a highly rated ungraded stakes race at Saratoga. BARBWIRE, whose back-to-back figures on turf are the top figs in this field, switches to dirt and
adds blinkers. Uncertain if he will be as effective on this surface, but he certainly fits on ability.
Optimistic Valor 2. Numero Dix 3. Wyfire
OPTIMISTIC VALOR scratched from the G2 Del Mar Derby on Saturday to run in this N1X for 3yos; if he reproduces his highly rated $40k claiming win
last out he can win right back. The improving gelding won by nearly two lengths; his win was flattered when the runner-up and sixth-place finisher returned
to win. NUMERO DIX ran very well in his fifth-place U.S. debut and is likely to improve second start back. He was keen and unsettled early, kicked home
late with a fast final quarter in :22.99 and galloped out with run past the wire. Excellent comeback. WYFIRE drops from the G3 La Jolla, a race in which he
finsihed fourth by only two lengths. The 1-2-3 finishers Sword Zorro, Zoffarelli and Hudson Ridge entered the Del Mar Derby on Saturday. BEYOND
BRILLIANT is speed, returning to turf and possibly the one to catch.
Hay Juan 2. Chris Fix 3. I Know Cash Flow
Mandatory payout in the 20-cent pick six, this is the opening leg, the jackpot into the weekend totalled more than $419k. HAY JUAN is the one to catch in
this maiden-50 for Cal-bred 2yos. He set a fast pace and finished fourth in his debut vs. state-bred special-weights. With a race over the track and easier
company, he can carry his speed stretching from five and one-half furlongs to six. CHRIS FIX also ran well in his debut, and should improve. He broke
slowly and trailed, made a middle move, waited briefly for room into the lane, split rivals and finished with interest. Good third-place effort. He moves from
open maiden-32 to state-bred maiden-50, which is probably a parallel move. Tab for improvement second out. Also-eligible I KNOW CASH FLOW adds
blinkers after an odd trip in his debut. He pressed/chased, dropped out at the quarter pole and appeared to be going backward, then found renewed interest
and re-rallied for third. He ran like a 2yo that would benefit from blinkers. Also-eligible THIRSTY CHAPO finished second all three starts at this level.
Althea Gibson 2. Anonymously 3. Nu Pi Lambda
A potentially modest pace scenario benefits comebacker ALTHEA GIBSON in this N1X turf sprint. A three-time winner who won her only sprint start on
Date: September 6th, 2021 Track: Del Mar
this course last summer, the Grazen filly posted a series of bullet works recently at LRC and has speed to be forwardly placed in a race likely to unfold at an
easy clip. ANONYMOUSLY, runner-up all three DMR turf sprints and 3-for-20 overall, was claimed for $32k from a respectable second last out. The mare
that beat her returned to miss by a head in a N2X. ANONYMOUSLY has a pressing style similar to the top choice, and should be saving ground forwardly
placed from the inside post. NU PI LAMBDA is 1-for-15 with nine two-three finishes including twice this summer in which she did not have clean trips.
She will rally late. SEPTEMBER SECRET is a comebacker with speed, first-time turf.
Indimaaj 2. Leading Score 3. Laurel River
Now that he has a comeback race over the track, which was his first start in more than six months, INDIMAAJ can upset stablemates LEADING SCORE
and LAUREL RIVER in this N1X dirt route. INDIMAAJ ran fast winning twice last winter at Tampa Bay Downs, then went to the sidelines after misfiring
in January. He needed the start here last month, second by nearly nine lengths. Assuming a forward move second start back, he can reel in the speedy
stablemates. LEADING SCORE has not raced since April, but he runs well fresh, has won over the DMR track and has won at and above this class level.
Entered for the optional $40k claim tag, he is likely to set the pace over a surface that has been kind to speed at one mile. LAUREL RIVER goes long for the
first time and should be forwardly placed. He worked fast since his sprint comeback.
Optimising 2. Silver Surfer 3. Aquitania Arrival
OPTIMISING was visually impressive (on video) winning his debut on a synthetic surface in England; the horse he defeated returned to win next out. That
is enough of an endorsement to make him top choice in this turf mile stakes for 2yos. The field did not come up particularly strong. SILVER SURFER also
makes his U.S. debut after a win and three seconds in England. This is the gelding’s first start beyond six furlongs, which is no big deal. He won a 13-runner
maiden race last out. In his previous start, he finished second behind a horse who returned to finish second in a Group 3. AQUITANIA ARRIVAL pressed
and tired as the curious favorite in the G2 Best Pal on dirt. Turf is new, but progeny of Carpe Diem run on turf.
Murray 2. Pinehurst 3. Pappacap
The debut romp by MURRAY stamps him the one to beat in the G1 Del Mar Futurity. Although the 2-3-4-5 finishers from the maiden race ran back and
lost, MURRAY worked forwardly since the win and is bred to improve as the distances increase. PINEHURST also won his debut, earning an 86 Beyer that
is the top figure in the field. The top pair are trained by Bob Baffert, who has won this race 14 times. PAPPACAP scored a decisive victory in the G2 Best
Pal, albeit low-rated. Both starts produced open-margin victories, he will be running late. AMERICAN XPERIMENT ships in from Saratoga, where he won
an off-turf maiden race by more than five lengths on a “muddy” track. Completely different footing here, but he benefits from the outside post. The juvenile
division in California looks average so far.
Algeria 2. Stone’s River 3. Ox Bridge
ALGERIA faces starter allowance winners following a strong maiden-50 on this course and turf distance. The maiden win was fast; he can score right back
first off the claim by Steve Knapp. If ALGERIA starts favored, a Formulator stat is worth a mention: the past five years, Knapp is 7-for-9 with favorites first
off the claim. STONE’S RIVER set the pace to deep stretch last out, and did well to hold third. The turf course was anti-speed early in the meet, but the
profile shifted. The course has played fair to all styles in recent weeks. OX BRIDGE might have made the lead too soon and got swallowed late while
running a solid third at this level. Obvious contender at the same course and class. That is a wrap for Del Mar summer; Los Alamitos opens Friday for its fall
Thoroughbred meet in Orange County
Frank handicaps a race Scatoni
DELMAR MONDAY 6TH SEPT 21
Race 10: $50K starter-allowance/N2L contested at 8-furlongs on turf (rails at 0-feet)
Post: approx. post 6:07 p.m. PDT
We close out the meet with a field of 11 starter-allowance foes going a mile on the turf with the rails at 0-
feet. I thought this was anyone’s race.
1 TEMBO (6/1) had a horrible start back in November, but he kept to task and closed strongly to
graduate over this course against $50K maiden-claimers. He hasn’t been seen since, but Michael
McCarthy is very good off this kind of layoff, and it’s nice to see Rispoli stick around. It’s never easy
first-time against winners, but I have a feeling this one is going to run a good one while saving all the
ground at the rail. GRADE: A.
2 OX BRIDGE (4/1) has good tactical speed and always runs his race when racing on turf, so he’s a
great exotics key—but he’s had his chances, and someone always seems to prove just a bit better. He’ll be
right there, but I’d like him more if he wasn’t going to face some heat to his outside. I think that softens
him up late. GRADE: B.
3 CANE CREEK ROAD (10/1) was 7/1 at this level last time, and he saved ground but could only
manage fourth in that 8.5-furlong event. He shortens up a smidge today, which should help his cause, but
I have to think this 3-year-old was fully cranked last time while eligible for the ship-and-win. I can see
him pressing the two; then we’ll see if he has enough starch late. GRADE: C.
4 MUAY THAI (IRE) (8/1) had an eventful journey last time when running against age-restricted $50K
claimers. He was DQ’d for bumping and placed from fifth to sixth. Now Sadler protects this sophomore
and Bravo strings along, so we’ll see if he can do better with a cleaner trip. It wouldn’t shock me if he ran
a little better today in his second start for Sadler (who took him for $40K two back), but he would need a
big step forward to beat the best in here. GRADE: C.
5 GENERAL MATHIS (4/1) ran a winning race last time at this level, closing resolutely but getting
outfinished by the winner. He now shortens up and should get a pace to close into, so his late kick should
be just as effective. I expect him to run another bang-up race, but he will need some luck negotiating
traffic in this big full field. GRADE: B.
6 BROTHER REID (12/1) is a deep closer who is still a maiden, so he will need to show he can outkick
winners today. Rispoli bails, but at least you get Desormeaux in his stead, and Kent has done fine work
for Cerin this meet. Still, this seems like an ambitious spot for a horse who can still face maidens. Maybe
look for him next time at Santa Anita with this race under his belt. GRADE: X.
7 STONE’S RIVER (6/1) is a 3-year-old who couldn’t beat cheaper foes last time, so I’m having a hard
time seeing him in the winner’s circle—especially since he looks like he needs the lead to win, and there
is other speed in here. I’m kind of shocked he’s only 6/1 on the morning-line. GRADE: X.
8 DROP ANCHOR (20/1) is a 3-year-old who was just claimed for $16K by Gallagher, who rarely
claims horses, so he must have seen some turf action in a horse who has only raced on dirt. I like that
Gallagher is protecting him while trying something new, but this sophomore hasn’t really shown much on
dirt against weaker animals, so he’ll really need to be a completely different animal on the surface switch.
I’ll watch one. GRADE: X.
9 ALGERIA (IRE) (7/2) somehow gets morning-line favoritism off a recent $50K maiden-breaker, so
this seems like a good race to get involved in! Knapp took this one for $50K and Prat rides through the
claim, which is nice—and that maiden-breaker was a very nice effort, but the waters get deeper today, and
it remains to be seen if this one can run another good race after a barn change. Knapp is excellent off the
claim, but I’m still fine letting this one beat me at short odds. GRADE: C.
10 ZIPPY BABY (12/1) saved ground and made a tiny move to finish fifth at this level last time while
going 8.5-furlongs. It was an okay effort, but he never really threatened for the win, so unless you think
this one can do better shortening up while breaking from a wide post, he seems a cut below the best in
here. That said, he was bet last time at 9/2, so the public thought he fit at this level, even though he was a
3-year-old facing elders (which he does again today). GRADE: X.
I’m just going to come right out and say it: I don’t like anyone in this race! That said, I do think #1
TEMBO has plenty of upside as a lightly raced 4-year-old making his seasonal debut for a trainer who
does really well off this kind of layoff. If it’s not him, it’s anyone!
|SARATOGA MONDAY SEPT 6|
|PICKS BY TIMEFORM USA DAVID ARAGONA|
Race 1: 4 – 1 – 6 – 3
Race 2: 6 – 7 – 4 – 1A
Race 3: 4 – 2 – 1 – 3
Race 4: 6 – 7 – 2 – 3
Race 5: 7 – 8 – 6 – 3
Race 6: 8 – 7 – 6 – 11
Race 7: 2 – 4 – 6 – 9
Race 8: 7 – 2 – 10 – 3
Race 9: 7 – 5 – 2 – 8
Race 10: 2 – 6 – 8 – 10
Race 11: 4 – 6 – 2 – 3
Race 12: 2 – 6 – 4 – 5
RACE 1: I’M PERFECT TOO (#4)
Equal Pay may go favored yet again after getting eased to the wire as the 6-5 choice last time. She was going to win her debut quite easily, as she was opening up past the quarter pole. Yet she appeared to stumble over herself in upper stretch and lost Irad Ortiz. It’s understandable that she took so much money off that race in her next start, but she never looked comfortable over the muddy track. She trains like a horse with a ton of speed, but she is extremely headstrong – to the point that may be detrimental. I won’t be surprised if she wires the field, but don’t want a short price on her. Looking beyond the Chad Brown trainee this is a pretty weak field. Mun Luv has had her chances and Big City Momma, despite selling for a large price tag as a yearling, has yet to show much in her races. I’m taking a shot against these with the New York-bred I’m Perfect Too. This might seem like an ambitious placement against open company at first glance, but she actually fits quite well here off her first race. She was absolutely clobbered at the start that day, as she got slammed from both sides. She dropped far out of contention immediately after that incident, but she launched a strong run around the far turn and nearly got up for the victory. She’s stepping up in class, but that effort indicates she has some ability. Tom Albertrani is 13 for 98 (13%, $2.52 ROI) with maiden second time starters over the past 5 years.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,3,6
RACE 3: NO WORD (#4)
This Bernard Baruch has only drawn five entrants, but all of them are serious contenders. Tell Your Daddy may be the horse to beat and the one to catch as he figures to go to the lead from the rail. He got a good trip last time when just second best to gate-to-wire winner Flavius, who was allowed to set a slow pace on the front end. He’s been an excellent claim by Tom Morley, as he was run very well in three of his four starts for this new barn, and had a legitimate excuse for the Poker two back. He’s a major player, but there are some intriguing rivals to his outside, a few of which still have upside. En Wye Cee figures to attract plenty of support off his obvious trip last time when he should have beaten today’s rival L’Imperator, but was boxed in for much of the stretch drive. This Todd Pletcher trainee has never won on turf, but he’s run well in all of his starts on this surface and has the tactical speed to work out the right trip here. I prefer him to closers like L’Imperator and Dreams of Tomorrow, but I’m worried that he’ll be overbet. I’m actually most interested in Pletcher’s other horse No Word. He doesn’t have the speed figure credentials of some others in here, but he showed real talent last year. He was just a half-length behind division leader Domestic Spending in the Saratoga Derby before running a good second in the Belmont Derby. He’s been off the board twice since then, but I thought he ran better than it appears in his return last time. He got rank into the first turn behind a moderate pace and then was just hung out wide every step of the way. He’s better than that and could get somewhat overlooked even in this short field.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 1,2,3
Trifecta: 2,4 with 2,4 with 1,3,5
RACE 5: ARUBA (#7)
Realm of Law and American Law figure to attract the most support after finishing second and third behind Big Everest in a similar race at this level earlier in the meet. Realm of Law finished a head behind American Law last time but arguably ran the better race after having to swing wide making his move. He definitely has the ability to win at this level but he’s been short prices in all four starts and has been a disappointment. He’s the one to beat, but I can’t take him as the favorite again. American Law arguably has more upside in just his second turf start. He got a great trip last time but he did do well to hold off Realm of Law in the late stages. I like the rider switch to Luis Saez, who figures to be a little more aggressive from the outside post position. They’re the two most likely winners but I don’t anticipate that either one will offer value. I’m most interested in a first time starter. Aruba was entered for a $75k claiming tag earlier in the week but scratched when that race was rained off the turf to participate here instead. I don’t mind that so much considering that he’s a homebred 4-year-old gelding. This runner used to be in Chad Brown’s barn and had trained well on turf down in Florida before getting put away. He’s now resurfaced in Jorge Abreu’s stable, which I don’t mind at all since he’s gotten some live runners that were transferred from Chad Brown. He’s bred to handle turf as a son of Kitten’s Joy and a half-brother to turf winner Robo Man. I like the way he’s been working on dirt, including a recent gate drill in company with Party Line Vote, who won impressively on Sunday.
Exacta Key Box: 7 with 3,6,8
RACE 7: COMMANDPERFORMANCE (#2)
Don’t Wait Up ran well enough to win many Spa maiden events in his debut. He was off about a length slowly and had to advance while racing 4-wide all the way around the far turn. He challenged the winner like he might go by in mid-stretch but lost the bob at the wire. This colt took plenty of money that day to go off at 7-1 for a barn that rarely wins on debut. Tony Dutrow is 3 for 18 (17%, $1.65 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters on dirt over 5 years, and this was once a key move for him. Power Agenda, who defeated him, runs in the Hopeful later in the day. However he may have to show up again to defeat a few well meant first time starters. The one that appears to have the most ability to me is Commandperformance. This $220k yearling purchase is by 9% juvenile debut sire Union Rags. The dam broke her maiden routing on dirt and was third in the Silverbulletday routing on dirt. She’s produced one winner, Under a Spell, who ran his best race in his career debut. The dam is also a half-sister to minor stakes winner Prodigy Doll. Todd Pletcher is 16 for 86 (19%, $1.60 ROI) with 2-year-old firsters in Saratoga dirt sprints over 5 years, and has had particular success this season. That Aug. 22 drill was in company with 4-year-old Chilean Group 1 winner First Constitution, and this guy was going slightly better. He also worked heads up with Misbehaved (4th on debut on Saturday) on Aug. 29. He appears to have talent.
Exacta Box: 2,4
RACE 10: DEFEND (#2)
This Hopeful is billed as the showdown between Sanford winner Wit and Saratoga Special winner High Oak. They’re clearly the two colts to beat in this race, but they each come in with something to prove. Wit has been visually impressive in his two starts, but he’s faced some weak fields and has yet to run particularly fast. His TimeformUS Speed Figure for the Sanford was just a 97, and that number has held up pretty well based on a few runbacks. He’s going to have to run significantly faster to beat this field, and he will also have to overcome his bad gate habits. He’s broken slowly in both starts to date and overcome it, but he could be compromised if he gives away ground at the start against this tougher competition. High Oak was a somewhat surprisingly dominant winner of the Saratoga Special and did earn a respectable 105 TimeformUS Speed Figure forth that triumph. However, that was not a strong field coming in. He obviously took a big step forward, but now he’s facing a better field and may have to improve again. I respect both of these favorites but I believe they could be underlays. My top pick is the likely speed Defend. This colt earned a strong 103 TimeformUS Speed Figure in his debut at Delaware Park. While he wasn’t facing much that day, he absolutely dominated that race on the front end and won geared down under minimal urging. He’s stepping way up in class but Cathal Lynch has good statistics with this move. Over the past 5 years he is 5 for 13 (38%, $3.80 ROI) with last-out debut winners making their second starts in dirt sprints. I don’t see many true front-runners signed on here, and Luis Saez figures to be aggressive from this inside draw over a track that has been speed-favoring this week.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 6,8,10
Trifecta: 2 with 6,8 with 3,6,8,10
RACE 11: GHOST GIANT (#4)
Early position figures to be of utmost importance in this one-mile allowance event over the inner course with the rails set at 0 feet. King Cause is the horse to beat as he returns from the layoff first off a trainer switch to Mike Maker. He’s drawn perfectly down towards the inside and obviously has prior form that is superior to his rivals. That said, you have to take a relatively short price off the layoff for Mike Maker, whose barn has been relatively cold over the last several weeks at Saratoga. A few runners are exiting a race at this level on Aug. 14. Cold Hard Cash arguably ran the best race that day as he was wide around both turns and only lost by a neck. That was a day when having inside position was an advantage during another period when the rails were down on the inner turf. Despite that wide journey he still finished ahead of today’s rivals Klickitat, who drew a terrible post here, and Atone, who was used to chase the pace that day. I’m using him prominently, but I went in a different direction. My top pick is Ghost Giant, who makes his first start off the claim for Rob Atras. I like the move up in class off the claim for a horse that finished just behind two of today’s rivals at a lower level last time. I also think he’ll appreciate the slight cutback in distance to a mile after tiring late going a more demanding 1 1/16 miles over yielding ground. Ricardo Santana should be able to work out a ground-saving trip from post four, and he has back races that will make him tough, as long as King Cause doesn’t show up with his best effort.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 2,3,6,7
RACE 12: PATH LESS TAKEN (#2)
The final race of the Saratoga meet is a fascinating affair which features a few fillies coming off trips. The clear horse to beat from my perspective is New York Supreme, who was incredibly unlucky not to win last time out. That Aug. 15 race featured a couple of fillies who cornered very badly on the far turn and this Tom Bush trainee got floated out about 6-wide for much of the bend. According to Trakus she covered 52 more feet than the winner – obviously far greater than the margin of victory. She had run well before fading in her return from the layoff two back and showed much more versatility and stamina last time. She may just be catching the right field now, but you’re not going to get the 6-1 she was last time, as she figures to get bet off that trip. She is more appealing to me than Stella Mars, who moved a little wide last time but was ultimately just second best at this level, and that’s not the first time she’s settled for a minor award. I’m more interested in a different filly out of that July 22 affair. Path Less Taken was last across the wire that day, but she got a subtly poor trip. She actualy broke with the field and was showing good tactical speed early before she got shuffled back around the turn and coming to the quarter pole. She found herself behind a wall of horses in upper stretch, and Junior Alvarado had to steady her a bit and then just eased her to the wire in traffic. She definitely could have attained a higher placing with a clear run, but it is unclear how good she is. Now she gets a rider switch to Chantal Sutherland and can do better at a price.
Exacta Key Box: 2 with 4,5,6,7
Trifecta: 2,6 with 2,6 with 4,5,7
|FINGER LAKES RACE 1|
Race Type: Lone Trailer. STRAW HAT is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * DR RUTHLESS: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Rating . Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COLONIAL LASS: Horse has the highest Track Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PARLAPIANO: Today is a sprint and the horse’s last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
|FORT EIRIE STAKES RACE 5-300K|
WHEAT KING looks to be the bet in here. Must be given a shot based on the solid Speed Fig earned in the last competition. Like the finish positions in the last couple of events. REMEMBER THE MAINE – Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. SEAU – Has earned reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past.
|CANTERBURY PARK RACE 7|
YO DAWG has a very strong shot to take this race. He ought to be given a chance given the decent speed figures. A solid 74 avg class rating may give this colt a distinct class edge against this field. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Berndt have shown strong results recently. SCREWBALL – The Lasix change (now going off Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this colt. He has been running well lately while recording strong Equibase speed figs. RED WAVE – Has been running in the most competitive company of the group lately. As of late Robertson has provided bettors with a strong winning percentage with horses racing in turf route races.
|SARATOGA SINGLE RACE 2|
#6 CARAGATE 6/1
SUNDAY SEPT 5 DELMAR SARATOGA + MORE TRACKS
|SARATOGA SEPT 5TH|
|PICKS timeform USA TONIGHT David Aragona picks for us |
Race 1: 7 – 4 – 3 – 6
Race 2: 5 – 10 – 9 – 11
Race 3: 9 – 7 – 10 – 4
Race 4: 3 – 5 – 4 – 7
Race 5: 8 – 1/1A – 3 – 9
Race 6: 3 – 12 – 11 – 9
Race 7: 6 – 2 – 8 – 1
Race 8: 4 – 3 – 8 – 5
Race 9: 8 – 11 – 7 – 2
Race 10: 5 – 2 – 9 – 3
Race 11: 7 – 3 – 1 – 5
Race 12: 1 – 6 – 8 – 3
RACE 3: BALINESE (#9)
Coalition Building is obviously the horse to beat as a likely heavy favorite in this $40k maiden claimer. She was compromised by a slow pace last time when only managing to get up for third at the $75k level. The potential for a quicker pace in this spot will help her, but that loss marked the fifth time in a row that she’s been defeated as the favorite. She’s generally had good trips in most of her other starts and her form is mostly exposed, so I didn’t want to take yet another short price on her. If Coalition Building loses, I think it’s most likely going to be done by a horse who gets the jump on her once again. I’m hoping that can be Balinese, who returns from a layoff and makes her 3-year-old debut for Phil Serpe. Notably, she is the only horse in this race who is not risked for the $40k tag, as her connections had the optional to withhold the claiming price due to the fact that she last raced for the same tag over 6 months ago. Both of those prior starts came over the Tapeta surface at Woodbine and I thought she ran decently in both starts. She chased a fast pace in her debut and then got the wrong trip next time when going 4-wide all the way around the turn in a race dominated by rail runners. She shouldn’t mind the switch to turf as a half-sister to Futurity winner Uncle Benny. I think it’s also meaningful that Luis Saez takes the mount for this low-profile barn, as he figures to be aggressive in a race with a murky pace scenario.
Exacta Key Box: 9 with 7,10
RACE 6: FAIR HAIRED BOY (#3)
A couple of horses who could attract support here are both coming off maiden victories. Clever Fellow may go favored for Chad Brown after finally making it the winner’s circle last time. However, he needed a perfect trip as the odds-on favorite, and I’m not sure he actually ran any better than the runner-up in that spot, who got a perfect trip. I think he’s stepping up to face much tougher company here. Caribbean Gold ran a faster speed figure last time beating open company in his maiden score. He set a legitimate pace and did well to hold on. However, he won at a time when Mike Maker was very hot at the start of the meet, and he’s since cooled down. I’m interested in a pair of bigger prices. The longer of the two figures to be Public Information, who was running races that would make him competitive here when he was in Chad Brown’s stable two and three back. He regressed off the claim for Wayne Potts last time, but I thought he got a poor ride, ridden far too aggressively in the first furlong. Now he’s switched to Jorge Abreu, a much more productive turf trainer. My top pick is Fair Haired Boy. I tried this horse last time and thought he was simply second-best when taking plenty of money at this level. However, I want to give him another shot third off the layoff. He was competing over a yielding turf course last time and I think he’ll appreciate getting back on firm ground here. Furthermore, he’s trained well out of that race and he’s drawn towards the inside in a race where all of the others I’m considering have wide post positions. The Saffie Joseph barn has been cold all meet long, but this is one of the few horses that actually ran well for this stable.
Exacta Key Box: 3 with 9,10,11,12
Trifecta: 3 with 11,12 with 4,9,10,11,12
RACE 7: SUMMER SNOW (#6)
Perhaps Classic Lynne will attract some support as the only runner with experience in this field. She ran pretty well in her turf debut, bounced around late in a roughly run race. She’s by Classic Empire, so I don’t mind the switch to dirt. Yet I do think there are a couple of potentially talented firsters in here. Classy Edition, another daughter of Classic Empire, sold for $550k at Fasig-Tipton after working a furlong in 10 1/5. This Chester and Mary Broman homebred is out of the solid mare Newbie, making her a half-sister to their stakes winner Newly Minted. This filly has been training very well for Todd Pletcher, whose juveniles have been showing up at this Saratoga meet. She’s the one to beat, but I’m interested in Summer Snow for Mark Hennig. This homebred is out of stakes-placed dirt sprinter Blithely, who raced for these same connections. Hennig is a strong 9 for 45 (20%, $4.13 ROI) with 2-year-old firsters in dirt sprints over the past 5 years. She’s been working in company with Chasing Artemis, who debuts against open company in the 8th race, and she’s been outworking that one. It appears that she has some ability for a barn that can win on debut.
Exacta Box: 2,6
RACE 8: TEXIAN (#4)
Jester Calls Nojoy figures to be pretty tough for this group to handle as she makes the second start of her career. She showed excellent early speed in her debut and fought on valiantly through the stretch, just succumbing to the more experienced Gimmick in the late stages. She had worked well leading up to that race and ran to expectations. She obviously wouldn’t need to improve much to beat this group, and her experience should be an advantage going this 7-furlong distance. Todd Pletcher is 3 for 18 (17%, $1.22 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters on dirt at Saratoga over 5 years. And picking up the leading rider at the meet certainly doesn’t hurt. I’m hardly against her, especially since none of the firsters in this race appear to be training particularly well. However, I am interested in some other runners with experience who could get dismissed at bigger prices. Pletcher’s other filly Amani’s Image is certainly one to consider after she raced a bit greenly in her debut. She’s bred to stretch out, and has apparently trained well out of that unveiling. I’d use her, but I’m most interested in Texian at what could be a bigger price. This filly got an educational run in the debut, as she really wasn’t asked for much until the late stages by Jose Ortiz. That was obviously a tough spot, as she and most of the others in that field were no match for the talented Echo Zulu, the expected favorite in the Spinaway later on this card. She didn’t take much money that day, so perhaps there will be more intention this time. Her dam was a multiple dirt route winner, so she should handle the added ground. Plus, Shug McGaughey is 6 for 28 (21%, $2.34 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters on dirt over the past 5 years.
Exacta Key Box: 4 with 3,5,8
RACE 9: THEODORA GRACE (#8)
This starter allowance seems totally wide open, so pace and trips could be key factors. Kemba is perhaps the runner coming in with the best turf form, but it’s hard to see her working out the right trip unless some other speeds take back. Shining Colors and Hohohoho have plenty of speed to her inside and Mopolka figures to be sending from the outside. Kemba has done her best running when she controls the pace and she may have to rate here. That said, she’s ridden by Luis Saez and he’s had a knack for working out the right trips at this meet. I want some horses who can come from off the pace. The most logical of those are Command Point and Baseline Drive. I didn’t know what to do with Command Point, who faced a good field at Arlington last time but has to validate that form in New York. Baselive Drive makes sense as she comes up from Florida. She’s an honest performer but not one that I’d want to take at a relatively short price. I’m most interested in a couple of longshots. One of those is Family Time. Her recent efforts have come on dirt and her turf performances look slower. However, when she was competing on turf, those efforts represented a slight improvement on her surrounding dirt form at the time. I think it’s possible that this 3-year-old filly has just improved overall lately, so perhaps she’ll translate that improved form to grass. The other horse that interests me at an even bigger price is Theodora Grace. She was visually impressive breaking her maiden against weaker two back, ranging up four-wide on the far turn before asserting her dominance through the lane. She tried a tougher level last time and got a subtly bad trip. She was too rank in the early going behind a moderate pace and then got shuffled back for about a quarter of a mile from the far turn until upper stretch. She was never winning or even hitting the board in that spot, but her effort isn’t as poor as it looks. Now she finds herself in a race with more pace, so she should have a chance to settle better.
Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,7,11
RACE 10: LIMONITE (#5)
Mystic Night is clearly the horse to beat in this N2X allowance optional claimer. He was an impressive winner in his lone prior start going a two-turn 1 1/8 miles at Aqueduct, a performance in which he beat a rail bias to get the job done. However, he’s only run once since March with his subsequent start surrounded by layoff lines. He perhaps didn’t love the sloppy track he encountered last time, but he was supposed to win that race against a slightly softer field. He’ll beat this field with this best effort but this is a competitive affair and I didn’t want to settle for a short price about whom I have some questions. Superfecto makes sense after finishing second to Danny California at this level last time. That rival returned just 4 days later to finish a distant third in a stakes. Superfecto set an honest pace when they met on Aug. 7 and held well for second. I think 9 furlongs is stretching him to his limit and he has other speed to contend with here. I’m using both of them, but I want to get a little more creative with a closer at a price. Limonite was running races that would make him competitive here going back to last winter for Amira Chichackly. However, he went off form for that low-profile barn and was put way for a little while. He resurfaced last time first off a trainer switch to Gustavo Rodriguez and woke up a bit despite facing a very tough field in the Alydar. He closed for fifth in a race that was dominated on the front end, and he was running on best of all late. I think he can step forward second off the layoff and I like the addition of blinkers, which could get him a little more involved early.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 2,3,9,10
RACE 11: DREAM LITH (#7)
Echo Zulu is obviously the horse to beat in this Spinaway as she stretches out off her visually impressive maiden victory on opening day. That was the faster of two maiden divisions on that card, and she was flattered when third-place finisher Outfoxed returned to run away with a stakes at Gulfstream last week. Echo Zulu may be very talented, but her 104 TimeformUS Speed Figure, while the highest number in this field, doesn’t make her a total standout in this race. Steve Asmussen is just 4 for 23 (17%, $0.99 ROI) with 2-year-old last-out debut winners returning in dirt graded stakes over the past 5 years. She also has to contend with a difficult pace scenario, as the two runners drawn immediately to her outside appear to be committed to sending for the lead. Given her likely short price, I want to take a shot against her, and I’m most interested in horses who can rally from off the pace. One of those who interests me is Tarabi, who makes her second start for Cherie DeVaux. She got a great trip in her debut, slipping through along the inside before running away late, and can be a factor here. My top pick is Dream Lith, who I trust the most to get this demanding 7-furlong distance. This filly took no money in her debut but ran a professional race. She rated kindly on the backstretch and delivered a strong stretch rally when called upon, finishing with good power through the line. The runner-up came back to finish off the board in her next start, but actually repeated the same TimeformUS Speed Figure, so it’s a legitimate number. She’s bred to handle added ground and she doesn’t figure to be bothered by having to rally from off the pace.
Exacta Key Box: 7 with 1,3,5
Trifecta: 7 with 1,3 with 1,2,3,5,8
|DEL MAR SEPT 5TH STATESIDE HORSERAING PLAYS|
Wearenotbadpeople 2. Head for Business 3. Warrens Candy Man
First post time, 1:30 p.m. WEARENOTBADPEOPLE drops to Cal-bred maiden-50 after a respectable runner-up debut vs. special-weight
Cal-breds. He set the pace into the lane before tiring. He moves from the rail to the middle of the field, and can be gone even while picking
up eight pounds. HEAD FOR BUSINESS ran the best race of his career last out, runner-up in a highly rated maiden-20. His 69 Beyer tops
the field. WARRENS CANDY MAN is a 12-start maiden cutting back to a sprint with a shot from off the pace. IRRESISTIBLY SEXY
finished a length behind ‘BUSINESS in a promising third-place debut.
V Bucks 2. La V. 3. Civil Suit
Runner-up vs. $40k claiming 3yo fillies last out, V BUCKS was claimed but the claim was voided. Now she drops to $25k claiming N2L
for fillies and mares, and with five weeks between starts is likely to reproduce her first start of the meet. That would probably be good
enough. LA V. won a fast maiden-claiming race more than four months ago, and is realistically spotted for her comeback and first against
winners. CIVIL SUIT was claimed from an okay third at this class level; MAJESTIC GIGI is a comeback dropper with speed; BIG
ANDY takes a dubious class drop second start off the claim, but does pick up the leading rider.
Vulin 2. Wicked 3. French Franc
A pair of first-time starters get top billing in this turf mile for maiden 2yo fillies. VULIN is a Kitten’s Joy filly from a top stable. The
challenge is two-turn maidens from this outfit typically race their way into shape rather than fire first out. Tepid choice, due to a lack of
alternatives. WICKED is a Ghostzapper filly produced by a graded stakes winner, with fast works but a tough outside post (10) for a mile
on turf. Also-eligible FRENCH FRANC has racing experience, second and third her first two starts. If she gets in, she might be the one to
Liv and Let Liv 2. Til I Found You 3. Focus First
Quite the class drop for LIV AND LET LIV, from N1X to $16k claiming 3yo fillies. Her summer form in the East would crush. TIL I
FOUND YOU also drops, from $50k claiming. Her third-place finish two back in her only start on dirt might be fast enough. Tough to get
excited over the top pair due to the class drops. FOCUS FIRST is yet another dropper with races in spring that fit with these. A SEASON
TO REMEMBER missed by a head in a $8k claiming sprint vs. older. Parallel class move to age-restricted claiming.
Reiwa 2. Trouville 3. Over Attracted
In a deep field of starter allowance turf fillies and mares, REIWA gets the call dropping from a runner-up comeback in a N1X at Golden
Gate. That was her first start of the year, she may be facing easier in this $50k claiming starter, nonwinners of three. TROUVILLE
routinely promises more than she delivers, in the money seven of eight starts since her most recent win. She chased razor-sharp Samurai
Charm both recent starts; that rival won again and has now won four straight. OVER ATTRACTED won for $32k and was claimed;
ELLIE ARROWAY drops from a runner-up finish in an open $25k claiming turf mile. She will force the pace with BUY WAVE GUY.
Real Fire 2. Lady T 3. Keychain Girl
A deep field of 2yo maiden fillies race five and a half; sharp-working firsters REAL FIRE and LADY T get the nod over tough-trip
Date: September 5th, 2021 Track: Del Mar
second-time starter KEYCHAIN GIRL and fast-working I GOT A GAL. The call is REAL FIRE, a Street Boss filly whose workouts
include an Aug. 1 drill in which she appeared to outwork older G1 winner Flagstaff. John Sadler, trainer of REAL FIRE, won with two of
his last three debut 2yos this meet including an impressive win last week with Michael Talla-owned filly Electric Ride under Joe Bravo.
Same connections here. LADY T is an Into Mischief filly who also has trained well including an impressive Aug. 19 work (viewed on
XBTV.com) in which she toyed with a mate. LADY T looks like she has speed. KEYCHAIN GIRL might be ranked too low by this
handicapper. Well-bet in her debut, she broke slowly from the rail, steadied, rushed inside to set a fast pace, and tired inside the eighth pole.
Sharp effort, she could be gone second time out with a clean takeoff. I GOT GAL also deserves attention. Her workouts have been
Ultimate Hy 2. Fearless Girl 3. Norma Jean B.
ULTIMATE HY is due for luck. She misfired two back on dirt, then was compromised by the outside post (10 of 10) last out when she
returned to turf. Now she drew a cozy inside post, her Cal-bred N1X turf mile win three starts back is fast enough to handle this open N1X
turf mile. Her main rival is Euro-shipper FEARLESS GIRL, who beat colts and geldings in an 11-horse field last out at a minor track in
Ireland. Her trainer excels with foreign imports; she gets Lasix. NORMA JEAN B. finally got the job done winning a maiden race last out
in her 10th try. Her speed figures compare favorably to the rest of the field. ZYDECO MAMA is sharp, improving, with speed for an upfront trip.
Flightline 2. Escape Route 3. Freedom Fighter
Four months after his smashing debut victory, FLIGHTLINE returns as overwhelming favorite in this N1X sprint. In his maiden win, he
ran the fastest six furlongs (1:08.75) of the Santa Anita meet, earned a 105 Beyer and should win if he picks up where he left off. ESCAPE
ROUTE has something the favorite lacks. That is, a race over the DMR track. ‘ROUTE cruised in a starter allowance last month; his
1:09.91 time is the fastest six furlongs this meet. Each start by ‘ROUTE has been better than the start before. FREEDOM FIGHTER
bombed at odds-on in his opening-week comeback. However, the G2-placed colt went into that race without a recent work at DMR. Since
then, he posted a series of sharp DMR works including a bullet :58 last weekend.
Helens Well 2. Dendera 3. Into Touring
Favorites won this stakes race five of the last nine years, but this year’s Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf is absolutely wide open. HELENS
WELL gets the nod based on her last-to-first U.S. debut. She walked out of the gate to be away last, inched forward on the backstretch,
took hold late and won going away. Sharp win, improvement likely with a clean takeoff. DENDERA posted the fastest final quarter-mile
in this field; she crushed Cal-breds with a :23.36 final fraction. She has tactical speed, a late kick, and might handle the jump from statebred maiden to open stakes. The third-place finisher from her maiden win won a maiden race Thursday. INTO TOURING also moves up
in class following a solid win in a maiden turf mile. URBAN ran better than looked finishing third in her career debut. Sired by Quality
Road, she should relish two turns.
Dance to the Music 2. Grace Adler 3. Elm Drive
The authoritative maiden win by DANCE TO THE MUSIC was faster and more visually impressive than the speed figure; she can win
the G1 Del Mar Debutante second time out. ‘MUSIC was well-regarded all spring, and ran to expectations wiring the field by nearly five.
She trained well since, drew outside a pair of stakes one-two finishers, and can fire right back with an up-front trip. GRACE ADLER also
makes the second start of her career after an off-the-pace debut win, and is likely to improve from her ordinary debut figure. Sired by
Curlin, her debut victory was at a five-furlong distance that probably was too short. Drawn outside, with a closing style in a race likely to
unfold at a strong tempo, GRACE ADLER should make a forward move stretching out to seven furlongs. Look for her late, possibly at a
price. ELM DRIVE and EDA are the aforementioned Sorrento Stakes winner and runner-up. ELM DRIVE, two-for-two, held off her rival
for a game win. She is battle-tested and quick. Two-time runner-up EDA gave ELM DRIVE all she could handle. Not sure what type trip
EDA can get from post 2 in this deep field, however. BICAMERAL finished second to the top choice in her debut. Second-time starters
from this stable tyically improve. Upset candidate from the outside post.
Big Coupe 2. Eagle in the Sky 3. Really Big News
The 4yo maiden BIG COUPE is ready to win following a solid comeback in a similar Cal-bred maiden turf mile. He was keen and
unrelaxed early, lost ground much of the trip, took up slightly on the far turn, rallied wide, made the lead and got collared. In the money all
five starts, the gelding should be tough to beat. EAGLE IN THE SKY finished less than a length behind the top choice two back, then
runner-up last out with an imperfect trip. He adds blinkers, switches to Bravo and fits if he can somehow get a trip from the outside post
(12 of 12). REALLY BIG NEWS finished last in his initial route, but the race was a toss. He was fanned wide on the clubhouse turn,
made an early move to press, and faded. His back-to-back runner-up finishes in sprints his first two starts suggests he will not be a maiden
for long. JUST ABOUT ENOUGH drops in to face Calbreds after an okay effort vs. open company in his first route try.
|DEL MAR SUNDAY 5TH FRANK SCATONI |
Race 7: $40K optional-claiming/N1X for fillies & mares going 8-furlongs on turf (rails at 0-ft.)
Post: approx. post 4:37 p.m. PDT
What a nice, competitive entry-level allowance today for fillies and mares going 8-furlongs on the turf.
We’ve got a European invader, some decent Cal-breds, and plenty of other runners to land on in this
wide-open affair. Let’s go price-shopping. (Oh, reminder: tune into “Best Bet” as I will be joined today
by Jerry Weseloh, co-owner of Brandothebartender. Start time at 11:00 a.m. PDT.)
1 FEARLESS GIRL (IRE) (7/2) has done good work on “soft” and “good” ground overseas, so we’ll see
how she handles firm SoCal turf. D’Amato is lethal with these types of imports and Rispoli bothers to
ride. That tells me this one will be ready to fire off the boat, but the price will be short, so I’m a little
hesitant to make her a top selection. GRADE: B.
2 ULTIMATE HY (6/1) is a Cal-bred who has shown tenacity and a nice late kick. She was 10/1 at this
level last time but managed a good fourth while breaking from the 10-hole. She moves inside today, and I
expect her to run a very good race. GRADE: A.
3 FROSE (15/1) was 10/1 against age-restricted N1X foes back in October, and she ran an okay fifth,
but she coughed it up in the lane—and then had to hit the shelf. She’s now coming off a long layoff
against older runners, so I’m fine watching one. GRADE: X.
4 DEL MAR DRAMA (15/1) has had several tries at this level, to no avail. She is cutting back a smidge,
so at least you know she’ll be fit—but she seems better suited to the exotics. GRADE: X.
5 LUCKY PERIDOT (10/1) is the wiseguy play in here. I liked her last time when she was stuck inside
on dirt and never got a chance to show her best stuff at this level. Maker took her for $40K and runs her
right back at the level—but this time on turf, where she has done very good work (but has been a little
camera shy). I expect her to outrun her odds today, especially with Bravo riding through the claim.
6 MISS COSTA RICA (5/1) is a 3-year-old who was 10/1 against her own age group last time and could
only finish fifth. It wasn’t the greatest effort, but in her defense, she was coming off a long layoff, so she
has license to improve. Will it be enough against older horses? Well, it’s hard to ignore a Prat/Baltas
production, but 5/1 seems a little short in this big competitive field. GRADE: C.
7 TRICKLE IN (8/1) should get a good forwardly placed trip while also enjoying some class relief after
squaring off against much tougher N2X types last time. I expect her to be in the hunt late, but I’m not
crazy about the fact that this former stakes winner is being let go by O’Neill to anyone with the $40K to
claim her. GRADE: B.
8 RESARCIO (15/1) showed a very nice late kick when breaking her maiden over this course last
summer—and therein lies the rub: will she be ready to take a big step forward against winners for the first
time while coming off a July 2020 layoff? With bug-girl Pyfer in the irons, I’m thinking this gal will
probably need one. GRADE: X.
9 NEW HEAT (20/1) is a Cal-bred who has failed three times at this level—and I think she will fail
again, having to break from the nine-hole today. That said, she does have a decent late kick, so if Cedillo
just finds the rail and makes one big run if a seam opens up, maybe she can contend for a slice, but she’ll
need a big step forward for the W. GRADE: X.
10 ZYDECO MAMA (4/1) was 13/1 at this level last time, and she ran third, getting outfinished late
despite a perfect stalking trip. She does cut back a smidge, so she’ll be more fit in her second try versus
winners today. I can see Maldonado getting her out to stalk the pace; will she then have enough left late to
fend off the closers? I’m going to vote no. GRADE: C.
11 NORMA JEAN B. (6/1) took forever to break her maiden, but she did it in style last time when
holding sway over seven other fillies when winning at 2/1. The waters get much deeper today—but I will
say this; this gal tries every time she steps on the track, so she has that in her favor. Still, the post is no
picnic, so I’m fine letting her beat me. GRADE: X.
I’ll take #5 LUCKY PERIDOT as my top pick at 10/1. Her best races are good enough to win at this
level, and I’m willing to draw a line through her last race on dirt. If you don’t buy what I’m selling on
her, #2 ULTIMATE HY at 6/1 is a solid alternative.
|KENTUCKY DOWNS RCE 2 |
GILLIAN ELIZABETH – This filly has the top turf number in her last race. It doesn’t take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here thoroughbred has a good chance. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today’s event is a shorter distance and should increase her chances to win. I just may give this one a chance. Should improve off last race where she did run outside the top 3, but was within five lengths at the wire. LADYBELUCKY – Utilizing this jockey/handler combination is a good decision. Beschizza is right back for another affair today after sitting atop this equine for the first try on Aug 1st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Kenneally drops this one in today for only her 2nd effort. Should do better than last out
[12,14] with [12,14] with [2,6,8] with [2,4,6,8,11] Total Cost: $24
|PRAIRE MEADOWS RACE 5|
I’ve got to go with LANCELOT N ELAINE. Has respectable front-end speed and ought to fare admirably against this group of animals. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. This equine could surprise this field at a solid price. ROGER P – With Gonzalez in the saddle guiding him, this gelding will probably be able to break out quickly for this race. In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today. MARY’S BOY – Entries trained by Birzer in dirt sprint races are typically sound. The extreme drop in company can only help out this entrant today..
HORSERACING PLAYS SATURDAY SEPT 4TH USA STATESIDE WAGERING
|HORSERACING PLAYS SATURDAY SEPT 4TH USA STATESIDE WAGERING|
|SARATOGA SATURDAY SEPT 4|
|The Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes|
Dirt 1² Miles|3Î|Purse: $1M|Beyer Par: More
|FRGUK TIP>>>#5 NIGHT OPS GAVE art collector a race last day and at 7/1 this horse is absolute the value of this race best Beyer of the bunch over this track which is massive advantage knowing your way around here Happy saver Plenty of wins and was 2nd to Maxfield Forza di Ora makes season debut after a long wait but is fancied by his Barn strongly|
|SARATOGA RACE 11 GRADE 1 #3 WAR LIKE GODDESS 1PTS WIN4/5 SAVE AMERICAN BRIDGE 1PT 10/1|
|RACE 8 GROUP 3 #5 FOUNDER 5/1 1PT PLACE WIN |
RACE 5 GROUP 2 #1 OXANA 9/4 1PT WIN
|BARN INFO STEVEN ASMUSSEN |
At Saratoga this summer, Asmussen became the all-time leading trainer in wins (9,467 through Tuesday), and last weekend won the Grade 1 Forego and Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens about 40 minutes apart.
For Asmussen, the final weekend begins in Saturday’s $1 million Jockey Club Gold Cup where he will send out Max Player in a field of six that were entered Wednesday. The Jockey Club Gold Cup will be run in Saratoga for the first time after being run at Belmont for decades.
Max Player enters the Jockey Club Gold Cup, still run at 1 1/4 miles, off a neck victory over Mystic Guide in the Grade 2 Suburban on July 3 at Belmont Park. That race, also run at 1 1/4 miles, ended a six-race losing streak for Max Player, who finished third in the Travers here last summer when trained by Linda Rice.
In the Suburban, Asmussen had jockey Ricardo Santana Jr, make a concerted effort to get the horse involved early in the race. He sat second for most of the trip before outfinishing Mystic Guide, the $12 million Dubai World Cup winner.
“We were trying to get him into the races earlier and I thought Ricardo did a wonderful job of giving the horse a chance,” Asmussen said Wednesday. “He had run solid races and good numbers before, but he was just giving himself way too much to do against top-class horses.”
Max Player, a son of Honor Code, has had three works at Saratoga, including one in which he went in company with Midnight Bourbon, narrow loser to Essential Quality in last week’s Grade 1 Travers.
“That looks better now,” Asmussen said. “I love how he’s training.”
The Jockey Club Gold Cup, a Win and You’re In race for the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic on Nov. 6 at Del Mar, drew last year’s Jockey Club Gold Cup winner, Happy Saver, who was third to Max Player in the Suburban.
Forza Di Oro, a sharp allowance winner here July 21 in his first start of the year, drew the rail. Outside of him, in post order, are Max Player, Chess Chief, Happy Saver, Night Ops, and Forewarned.
The Jockey Club Gold Cup will go as the final race on a 12-race card that begins at 12:35 p.m.
Asmussen also will be represented in the weekend’s Grade 1 stakes for 2-year-olds. On Sunday, he will send out impressive debut winner Echo Zulu in the Grade 1 Spinaway for 2-year-old fillies. On Monday, he plans to run Gunite, runner-up in the Grade 2 Saratoga Special, in the Grade 1 Hopeful.
|DEL MAR RACES SATURDAY SEPT 4|
|RACE 1 #9 SUMO 7/2 -9-3 BOXED|
|RACE 2-#8 IRISH HEATWAVE 4/1 >>>8-3-6|
|RACE 3 #1 KNAH 5/2 1PT WIN|
|RACE 4>> #1 ROADSIDE 5/1- WIN-1-12-5-2|
|RACE 5 #3 MISS BELLA CIAO|
|RACE 6- 5-1-8-7|
|RACE 7- 4-6-9-8|
|RACE 8- #6 TEST DRIVE 4/1= SINGLE|
|RACE 9-#6 BODCHITTA EW – 6-7-8 =X 6 EXACTA BETS|
|RACE-10-#1 APREHEND 7/2 1PT WIN|
|RACE 11- #12 CREW DRAGON #9 ZOFFARELLI #1 HUDSON RIDGE #10 JIMY BLUE JEANS|
|EVANGELINE DOWNS RACE 1|
4-7-6-1-2 SUPERFECTA TRY
|DELAWARE PARK RACE 3|
IN HIM WITH HIM – Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. Ran a lackluster race at Delaware Park last time out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. Should do well right here. Weight shift of -7 from Aug 23rd race at Delaware Park. SANCOCHO (MEX) – This colt is at the same 1 mile distance he won at on June 21st, which was at a higher class level than today’s event. Entered a $6,250 Claiming race at Delaware Park last time out and raced on an off track finishing sixth. Has to do better today. EMPTY NESTR – This gelding is in nice form, having run a good race on August 23rd, finishing first. Just view his latest speed figure, 92. That one fits in this group. IT’S FATE – Morrow brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this live gelding.
|ELLIS PARK RACE 7|
BREW CREW looks solid to best this field. Foley has this gelding racing well and is a very good pick based on the very good Speed Figures put up in sprint races as of late. Has been running well lately and ought to be close to the front end early on. Ran a strong last race. GALLANT PLUNGER – Is difficult not to look at based on speed figures which have been strong – 84 avg – of late. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Asmussen have shown strong results recently. TRASHTALKINYANKEE – Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. He has very good class ratings, averaging 97, and has to be given a shot in this contest.
|GOLDEN GATE RACE 6|
PROMOTE (IRE) – Based on this mare’s recent efforts, she should benefit from today’s shorter distance. Ran in the last race against much better company at Pleasanton. The move to a lower level should suit her well. ZELAIA – Took a class drop last race out at Golden Gate Fields. Trujillo keeps her at the same level in this race. I think that’s a good move. SENORITA ESTRELLA – This rider and trainer’s horses have been producing a positive return on investment. She’ll be laying in the catbird’s seat, right behind the front runners. I am keen on that recent effort on Aug 14th at Golden Gate Fields where she ended up second. MISS SKI – This jock and conditioner are reliable together. Winning percentage when teamed up is very hard to one up. Steiner had been running this filly at higher levels recently. Did win a $12,500 Claiming race though, on April 24th. Could do it again here. This filly is in nice condition. Ran third on August 15th.
|SARATOGA RACE 7|
3-11-4 #3 TEN GAUGE SINGLE
FRIDAY SEPT 3 HORSERACING WAGERS TIPS
|FRIDAY SEPT 3 US HORSERACING WAGERING ADVICE -BETTING TIPS|
|RACE 4 PENN NATIONAL |
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * LULA’S ROADRUNNER: Horse has the highest Track-Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TINDER DATE: Hors e has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Power Rating. BONITA LASSIE: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout w ithin the last seven days.
|REMMINGTON PARK RACE 6|
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ENDLESS ROMANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ENDLESS ROMANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. LA MUSE: Horse has the highest Track Rating. Horse has the highest average Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in t he top three in average Class Rating at the distance/surface.
|CHARLES TOWN RACE 8|
RARE ONE – When Trotman and Shanley combine forces on animals the return on investment has been terrific at +75. This mare is in good physical condition. Ended up third on Aug 12th. That 38 fig this mare recorded in her last event tells me she’s a major player this time out. BRONX PRINCESS – This horse could be tough in today’s race, especially since Nunez rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. Starting from the inside, this mount should have a distinct advantage. Her front running style should serve her well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs.
|MONMOUTH PARK RACE 5 |
MAP EM UP looks to be a strong contender. Must be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. This racer has a very good win percent in turf routes. With a sound 76 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today’s race. JAYDINE – Look for a much better outing with the drop. A solid 88 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this field. STEFANIE ON FLEEK – Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying solid numbers as of late and an average speed fig of 78 under similar conditions. Has a solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me think about this mare.
DEL MAR RACE 1
#8 CONO 7/2 1pt win SINGLE Multiple reasons to like? a lot of these dont like this track CONO does
Highest last race speed rating
Drops in class today
Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, he was clear and just got nutted on the wire today may go all the way? lets hope and pray he does 7/2 looks a nice price
DEL MAR RACE 4
NAUGHTY EVELYN – Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. You have to like that recent race rating, 75, which is the best latest race speed rating of this group. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last 30 days. CONSIDER ME GONE – Eurton is hoping to get a little more out of this filly by adding blinkers today. CLASS CODE – I’m optimistic this filly will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she’s sharp right now. VanDyke was aboard this filly last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. 4-8-11
|Saratoga Race 1 |
5 Wild Appeal 4/1
|WEDNESDAY SEPT 2 STATESIDE HORSERACING TIPS|
|BELTERRA PARK RACE 2|
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GRANITE CANDY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRANITE CANDY: Today is a sprint and the horse’s last start was within the last ten days. SUPER STEAMY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last se ven days. CARPE AMORINA: Horse ranks in the top three in averageSpeed Figure at the distance/surface. GENERAL GINNY: Today is a sprint and the horse’s last start was within the last ten days. TIGER JO: Horse ranks in the top three in average race Speed Figure
|Evangeline downs race 2|
Race Type: Lone Stalker. SILVER MAID is the Lone Stalker of the race. ACHANCETOWIN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has a Track Gur speed fig designation. AMBER PASS: Today is a sprin t, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SILVER MAID: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn’t a Trailer. Horse ranks in the top three in Track- Rating.
|SARATOGA RACE 6|
SINGLE #6 AVA KS BOY WIN Reserve #10 Illuminato 6-10-11
|EMERALD DOWNS RACE 1 SINGLE>> #4 SENOR FABULOSO – I like to bet on this angle, a horse coming back off a solid contest within the last thirty days. Matias rode this thoroughbred for the first time last race out and comes right back this time around. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per start. A powerful try in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll.|
|DEL MAR race 5|
KRISTI’S TIGER is my choice. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this horse look quite good in this race. Is tough not to look at given the company run in lately. This filly is a contender based on her earnings per start in dirt sprint events. LITTLE MISS ELLIE – She has been racing strongly lately while recording very solid speed figures. WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE – This filly has some longshot angles I like to wager on. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 1 out of 4 in her races as of late.
|CANTERBURY PARK RACE 3|
My selection for this event is CHAMPS SUCCESS. Has to be carefully examined in this competition if only for the decent Speed Figure garnered in the last affair. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager – strong Speed Figures (74 average) at today’s distance and surface lately. OXWOOD – Conditioner boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. I expect a quite good performance from this racer whose conditioner has one of the strongest return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. TOUR THE WORLD – Displays strongspeed figs on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately.
|DELAWARE SUPERFECTA TRY RACE 5|
#5 TEXAS REWARD (ML=12/1)
#6 MAHKATO (ML=6/1)
#3 SPIN YOUR PARTNER (ML=5/1)
#11 UNCLE MO’S AFFAIR (ML=12/1)
#1 PRINCESS ADIRA (ML=6/1)
[5,6] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6,11] with [1,3,5,6,11] Total Cost: $24
|WEDNESAY SEPT 1ST HORSERACING TIPS USA TRACKS|
|EVANGALINE DOWNS RACE 1 |
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MAGIC APRIORITY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HER GREAT GRANDPA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. MAGIC APRIORITY: Today is a horse’s first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Today is a sprint, horse is a F ront-runner with an inside post position. EMPRESS ELOISE: Horse has the highest TrackRating. Horse has the highest average Guru Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY LITTLE GUERA: Horse has a Guru +”+” designation or an ” L” designation. Horse ranks in the top three in Track Rating.
Belterra park race 8
SKY FACTOR looks to be a very strong contender. Shows sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. Has performed admirably as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 56 avg speed figure. I can’t pass on this filly given one of the top jockey and trainer combos on the grounds. MYSTIC MISS – If you gander closely, this one has some longshot possibilities. The class fig of today’s race is much lower than her last race. FIOR DI LATTE – Looks quite good against this field and will most likely be one of the front-runners. Should be given a chance in this contest if only for the very strong speed fig recorded in the last contest.
|MOUNTAINEER RACE 5 |
SINGLE #4 ESTA CALIENTE 6/1 1PT WIN PLACE – The rider and trainer combination here have a high win percentage when they combine forces. I do like the fact this filly is back in a race so quickly. Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a good race in the last race within the last 30 days. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the capability to make her presence felt.
TRIFECTA 4-6-9 4-6-3 OR Save 6-4-9-3
|PESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 1|
TRANS MISSISSIPPI is my choice. Has performed admirably recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 62 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Recent figs for the jock – 34 win percent – make this mare stand out in this group. Morales’s return on investment over the last month automatically makes this equine a strong contender. BETTERTHENYOURX – Is hard not to look at based on speed figures which have been respectable – 62 avg – of late. With Allen on top her, this filly should be able to break out sharply in this event. CLASSY LYNN – She looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Posted a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair.
|PENN NATIONAL RACE 7|
#6 SHOW MAID – Taking a big class drop in class figure points from her July 14th race at Presque Isle Downs. Based on that valuable data, I will give this one the advantage. SINGLE WIN
|SARATOGA RACE 2|
#3 GRIT AND GLORY 4/1 1PT WIN SINGLE>>> 3-1-4
|OVER TO TIMEFORM USA David Aragona here |
SARATOGA SEPT 1
RACE 4: IN A HURRY (#6)
Clara Peeters is obviously the horse to beat based on her races from last year. She earned her lone U.S. victory going 7 furlongs around one turn, but she ran admirably in both starts going a mile at Saratoga last summer. She stretches out a bit this time but she certainly has the class to overcome that minor obstacle. The big issue is the layoff. Brad Cox is 11 for 58 (19%, $1.57 ROI) off layoffs of 240 days or more in turf routes over the past 5 years, though he’s 0 for 6 at NYRA within that sample. She’s trained forwardly for her return and is a deserving favorite. I just wouldn’t want to take a very a short price on her. I prefer In a Hurry as the best alternative at a better price. Like many runners from this barn, this filly has been steadily improving throughout her career. She appears to be in career form now as a 4-year-old, coming off her best effort yet. Racing in blinkers for the first time, she was more aggressive in the early stages before getting outkicked in upper stretch. It briefly looked like she might finish off the board before she surged for second. She has worked well since then and now lands in a spot where that newfound early speed could come in handy.
Trifecta: 6 with 8 with 2,3,7
RACE 8: BUSINESS MODEL (#5)
Recent maiden winner Vindictive and last-out starter allowance winner Runnin’ Ray figures to vie for favoritism here. The former Pletcher-trained runner seems like the most likely winner off his game win going this distance last time. That July 28 maiden event was easily one of the strongest of the meet, as this well-bred colt earned a strong 109 TimeformUS Speed Figure in victory. He had been mildly supported in his debut when finishing behind Travers third-place finisher Miles D, and he significantly improved on that form last time. He has more upside than Runnin’ Ray, who was game to win going this distance on July 30. He backed up that blowout victory against cheaper foes at Churchill two back, and will be a factor once again with a similar speed figure. The runner-up from that last race, Winter Pool, did return to win his next start. And this runner’s early speed should make him dangerous in a race that doesn’t feature a clear front-runner. I respect them, but my top pick at a better price is Business Model. This Godolphin homebred returned from a lengthy layoff two back with a powerful maiden victory, rallying boldly from off the pace to get the job done. He disappointed when stretched out to 1 1/8 miles at this level last time, but I thought he had legitimate excuses. It wasn’t easy to close over that opening day track when the dirt was deep and demanding. Furthermore, the all of the fractions for that race are color-coded blue in TimeformUS PPs, indicating a very slow pace. He figures to work out a better trip in his smaller field this time, and I still think he has upside for Brendan Walsh.
Exacta Key Box: 5 with 3,4,6
Trifecta: 5 with 6 with 1,3,4
RACE 10: LADY THORNHILL (#12)
Acushla is one of the logical contenders as she makes her second start as a 3-year-old after getting rained off the turf a few times prior to this. She ran pretty well in her debut, overcoming a sluggish start. However, she showed many of the same tendencies in her return at Belmont last time, again getting away slowly before making a middle move. She still has some room for improvement, but she just looks a little unfocused and one-paced. There are a few intriguing new faces like first time turfers La Victoria and Tapple Cider, but neither one has enough turf pedigree for him. I want to go in a different direction with Lady Thornhill, who drew the far outside post position. This filly showed nothing in her debut, but took a big step forward when David Donk put her on turf and stretched her out in her second start. Breaking from the rail, she got way too aggressive running into the first turn, opening up a sizable advantage while drifting out around the bend. Pablo Morales had a tough time settling her down, as she continued to race keenly into the backstretch. While the pace wasn’t exceptionally fast, she was setting those fractions the wrong way, fighting her rider. Most horses who run the first half of the race in such a manner will have nothing left for the stretch drive, but she actually battled on admirably when the closers came to her in the lane. I thought it was a strong effort, and I like that she’s being moved up in class into a protected spot for her return from the layoff. She has to cross over from this wide draw, but I think her speed could be dangerous as long as she settles a bit better this time.
Exacta Key Box: 12 with 1,8,9,10
SARATOGA -DELMAR MONMOUTH-GRAND PRAIRE-EMERALD-GGF
|SARATOGA RUN HAPPY TRAVERS FESTIVAL-BIG NIGHT SATURDAY- GRADED RACE FESTIVAL AT THE SPA >>>NYRA|
|RACE 2- 5 – 3 – 2 – 4|
|RACE 3- 4 – 3 – 8 – 6|
|RACE 4 #3 VIADERA >>3-1|
|RACE 5 – 6 – 8 – 4 – 9|
|RACE 6- #6 CHARMED-6 – 9 – 7 – 11|
|RACE 7- Spped figs transferred to Guru Merit>> GAMINE 134 SCONSIN 125 CE CE 120 best is> 126 Keenland 20- trifecta 1-5-7|
| RACE 8- Whitmore 134 Mischevious Alex 134 if returns to best Lextonion 133 >> 2-3-1|
RACE 9- Jacckies Warrior win- Drain the clock – Exacta 0 NewBomb Trifecta- 2-1-3 x 2-3-1
RACE 10- Harveys Lil Goil could pull the Upset here on this Tight Track at the spa- Letruska if she brings her A Game to the Spa then she overpowers them I Summised? Dunbar Road brings Backclass from Keenland Last yr- not so this??? 8 Harveys Little Goil single <>>>EXOTICS 6-8-5
RACE 11 Japan may run well Here a top class Group 1 Bay Horse, who may run well at the spa Leapardstown Turf is very similar tight track going Left Handed – one of my Horses to follow as a 2 yo Cross Border Looks best recent form Channel Maker is a real smart stayer yet to shine this yr due to excertions of travelling but cant be left out of calculations SINGLE Japan win 6-7-3-4-1 superfecta try
|RACE 12 Esential Quality win 2-1-3-4|
|DEL MAR Saturday AUGUST 28-|
|RACE 1 ELECTRIC RIDE 5-6-3|
|RACE 2- FATHER O’FAHERTY 2-6-1|
|RACE 3- UNCLE JEFF -1-8-7|
|RACE 4 WE ALL AGREE- 6-8-7|
|RACE 5- LITTLE LILLIANA & CHANTAL split 1-10-12|
|RACE 6 FRATTELI 4/1>>>> 1pt win|
|RACE 7 GATES OF HEAVEN WIN 7/1 1PT- 6-4-7-3|
| RACE 8 ROCKERFEELA WIN 2-5-6|
RACE 9 -10-4-6
RACE 10-C Z ROCCKET 2PTS – FLAGSTAFF -EIGHT RINGS TRIFECTA 1/4PT
RACE 11 #9 COOL YOUR JETS 9/1 1[T EWAY 9-10-11-6
HAVARTI GOLD – This jockey and handler’s horses have been generating a beneficial return on investment. I like that this first-timer has been working over the Emerald Downs oval and makes his debut here today. Gets help from Moore with the addition of Lasix. CELINAS BLUE BIRD – Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I’ve used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the 2nd time. LARSEN BAY – When this jock and trainer team up you have to take a look. Mawing and Belvoir have been wonderful together. Got an unlucky trip his first time out. Hitting the track today, should do better if he stays out of any issues. Got some betting action in maiden trip on the track on August 14th at Emerald Downs, but finished fourth. Has a shot in this field.
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SPUN AND WON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SPUN AND WON: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highes Power Rating. SHOO SHINE: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in Power Rating.
SS FROSTY is my choice. Could provide positive dividends based on solid recent speed figures with an average of 69. With a formidable 66 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field – worth a look. SASSES LOKI – Could best this group here, showing competitive figs of late. Rocha ought to be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this race. WILT (T) – Has been racing admirably and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today’s distance. Will almost certainly compete well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group.
|GOLDEN GATE FIELDS SANFRANCISCO|
|RACE 1- |
KLAY NATION – You’ll be generating money left and right by turning your cash onto this rider/handler combination. C’MON JENNA – Have to like the way Ramirez has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think he’ll run well today. The August 14th affair at Golden Gate Fields was at a class level of (93). Dropping to a lower class rank drastically, so he should be in a good place. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I feel can be a key handicapping aspect. This entrant is ranked number 1 in this field. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 26 to 44 to 78 in a row.
Friday August 27 Del Mar-charles town-Saratoga-woodbine-Belterra-Gulfstream
|Friday Agust 27|
|Charlestown Race 1-|
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. BRANDYURAFINEGIRL is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BRANDYURAFINEGIRL: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
|Saratoga Race 5|
I’M PERFECT TOO looks respectable to best this field. She should definitely be considered given the very strong speed figs. Competitive gamble today with second time Lasix. Albertrani has a solid 25 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. CAUMSETT – Has run well when racing a turf sprint race. With Ortiz uptop her, this filly will probably be able to break out sharply here. BAUDI MOOVAN – Bettors should probably note that this horse runs with second time Lasix today.
|Woodbine Race 1|
ELITE SONG – Has unearthed a soft spot in today’s event. JUNGLE GODDESS – This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today. BRING DA FUDGE – Husbands rode this horse for the initial time in the last race and comes right back this time. I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last month. Just check out her recent speed fig, 68. That one fits in this field.
|Belterra Park Race 8|
. PLATINUM MAC – Looks decent versus this group and will almost certainly be one of the front-runners. Helmbrecht has this gelding running well and is a strong selection based on the very strong speed figures posted in sprint races recently. I think NO OBLIGATION is a decent choice. He must be given a chance given the very good speed numbers. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. He looks solid in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint- NOT NOW RAND – The Equibase Speed Figure of 59 from his last contest looks formidable in here.
|Penn Race 4|
RICHIE GOES GLOBAL – Gonzalez and Vazquez perform well when they are put together. It’s hard to beat a +100 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. This horse broke from the outside at Parx Racing last time out, racing 1 mile 70 yards, but is getting a low post in this race, which should help his chances today. ELECTRIC HEAT – This gelding is the longer price of the ‘split’ entry from the barn of Bobadilla.
|Gulfstream Race 5|
#7 Captain win
|DEL MAR Friday August 27|
|RACE 1 – #5ZABAVA 5-3-7|
|RACE 2= #3 ILLAPAWNIE 3-7-8|
|RACE 3-#7 Kenzous Rythm- bOX 7-6-9-3|
|RACE 4 – 1-7-3-4 >>>>> 20/1 201 ML|
|RACE 5-#6 STEAK AN CHEESE WIN-3/1 6- Box 6-4-9-8|
|RACE 6- #2 Miss Stormy D – -Paige Ann- Miss Bigly|
|RACE 7- #4 Go On 6/1 =1pt win 4-7-6|
|Race 8- Sir FLATTER – Me Macho 4-1-6 .|
|THURSDAY STATESIDE HORSERACING ADVICE FOR WAGERING –|
|Belterra Park – Race-3|
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PRINCE MAIOR is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRINCE MAIOR: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BIG FRANK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
|Charles Town – Race-5-|
Race Type: Lone Trailer. IMAGINE VICTORY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COACH RUBE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DEBRAW: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MORALITY CLAUSE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse’s third or fourth start after a layoff. DEVILISH BEAUTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. IMAGINE VICTORY: Horse’s win percent age at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
|ARLINGTON RACE -4-|
MCRAGS looks very good to best this field. He ought to be carefully examined given the decent speed numbers. Have to take a chance on this colt with the reliable earnings per start in dirt route events. Could go off at a decent number and has some positive attributes going for him. TOWN AGENDA – Is tough not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been very good – 69 avg – of late. Lately Emigh has been on fire which may give the edge to this colt. PRINCE OF MAYHEM – Put up a very strong speed figure last time out. Has put up solid speed figs in dirt route races in the past.
|PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS RACE 2-|
LEXATOGA – You have to be keen on that last race figure, 70, which is the best latest race speed rating of this group. Have to make this colt a solid contender; he comes off a strong effort on August 19th. BETTER TAPIT – Pino and Rice perform well when they unite. It’s hard to beat a +110 return on investment for a jock and handler. Jockey jumped on this gelding’s back for the first time on August 16th. Should be acquainted with the equine even better today. This gelding is in exceptional form right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon.
HOSANNA – Filly’s finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today’s the day. This filly is in top form right now. Ran third last out and comes back promptly. That 51 fig this filly notched in her last clash tells me she’s a major player this time around. SORORITY SISTER – This horse wins a lot of cash per start. I believe she will boost that bankroll today.
|DEL MAR 3PTS WIN #2 CENSORSHIP 11/8 Currently b365 by Tonalist out of La Grange|
Highest last race speed rating
35% trainer: 2YO
Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (7 2-0-1)
Sharp 6F workout (Aug-20)
High % trainer
May improve at the longer distance
Ran 2nd vs similar in last race bullet works >.Aug 20 1.11 6f Wow rr u kidding me? this horse must be a machine im just worried about routing but on this track ? if you lead easy they dont catch you ?
|Del mar Race 2|
|Del Mar Race 3|
#1 Dougie Fresh single 5/2
Drops in class today
22% trainer: 2nd strt w/trn
Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (13 4-2-3)
High % trainer
Switches to a high % jockey
Eligible to improve in 3rd start since layoff
wednesay August 25 Horseracing USA
|Horseracing USA Wednesday 25th August 2021 “STATESIDE”|
|SARATOGA RACE 9|
SUPERFECTA TRY >>> 7-4-6-2-3
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. RY’S THE GUY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FANTASIOSO (ARG): Horse ranks in the top three in Track>> Power Rating. MORETTI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHAMROCKET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
|Belterra Park race 6|
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DERBY INCLUDED is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SIR. REZ: Today is a sprint and this is the horse’s third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DERBY INCLUDED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DUKE OF DARKNESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in t he top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
|PARX RACE 7|
I think PRACTICAL COACH is a respectable choice. The offspring of this sire have historically shown quite good profits. Very strong sire data will play a key role in this colt racing well. Handler has very solid win rate (21 percent) at this distance and surface. CATTY’S UNCLE – Will most likely compete strongly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this field. With one of the best jocks in terms of gains at the window, don’t count this colt out. NONEEDTOWORRY – When this jockey and handler team up, players often make money.
|EVANGELINE DOWNS RACE 2 >>> SINGLE|
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI – Jockey hops right back atop after getting to know the beautiful animal by riding in the last race. That’s always a good to see. I think Evangeline Downs players know a good thing when they see the jockey/handler tandem of Thornton and Broberg. Their win pct together has been good. Sophisticated horseplayers will tell you that this racer has strong pace. This racer earns a lot of cash per race. I believe he can add to the lifetime total in this race.
SUPERFECTA TRY>>> 2 with [1,3,4,6] with [1,3,4,6] with [1,3,4,6] Total Cost: $24
|CANTEBURY PARK RACE 5|
PAPA RIZZO – Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying formidable figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 80 under similar conditions. MESA SKYLINE – Fuentes should be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in here. Had one of the best speed figures of this group of horses in this race in his last contest.
MY BOY LOLLIPOP has a decent shot to take this contest especially at 8/1. Cappellucci has one of the most favorable winning percentages in this group of horses with entries running at this distance and surface. Ran a strong last race. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Fuentes in the irons
|ARLINGTON RACE 8 SUPERFETA TRY |
RAPID TRANSIT – This jockey/handler duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +118. 76-89-91 are last three speed ratings. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here. ZANDREA’S – This campaigner coming off a strong try in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. PP lines show this horse with 3 improving speed figs. Tavares should be on a horse ready to go in this event. SMACK – This pony coming off a strong performance in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion. If you review the PP’s for this thoroughbred, you’ll see she has recorded the top speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat race in this race and this horse has a superb chance to win. This mount loves the track here at Arlington. NORTHERN ALLIANCE – Last time out, finished sixth on the soft turf at Arlington. Should do much better in this race. Trainer Rodriguez moves this one down the class ladder to face much lower class horses. Look for a good race this time out. Look at this pattern of improvement. 60/78/90 are the last 3 speed figs. WINDY CITY GIRL – This jockey and handler have a fabulous winning percent when they unite. Horses out of the barn of Rivelli have been solid on the turf. Should do well in this race.
|SARATOGA RACE 10|
OFF TURF 1-12-14-2
|TUESDAY HORSERACING ADVICE FOR BETTING USA 24 AUGUST|
|CANTERBURY RACE 3 |
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SUMMER FIREFLYS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUMMER FIREFLYS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combi nation return on investment is at least +20. SPEEDY ENOUGH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
|Louisiana Downs – Race 1|
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * SYMBOL AZTECA: Horse has a TrackMaster “+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaste r Power Rating. JOEBOY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/ surface.
|RACE 7 -PENN|
SMIRK has a strong shot to take this race. Should best this group here, showing very good figures of late. Ran a strong last race. Has a strong shot in this contest if you like back class. SPIN CYCLE – Is hard not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been strong – 64 avg – of late. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by McClellan have shown sharp results lately. QUENCH MY THIRST – Could beat this field given the 64 speed rating put up in his last outing.
|pRESQUE ISLE DOWNS -RACE 4|
DAVE’S TEXAS LADY – I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. When Alencar and Radosevich team up on equines the ROI has been fabulous at +42. Could be an overlay right here at morning odds of 6/1. Finished fourth in last race at Presque Isle Downs but was close at the end. WILD LOOKER – This horse is not the M/L favorite, yet she finished ahead of today’s chalk in their last race together. This mare is in exceptional form right now. Ended up first last time out and comes back rapidly. Hay must have known this mare would run well at this track. Won her last race here on August 10th and now goes for a double. The 78 last race speed rating looks good in black and white. The improved speed figs over the last 3 races is solid. Hay drops her in this race ready to win.
|FORT EIRIE RACE 8|
CHEEKY PINT looks very strong to best this field. She has to be given consideration given the respectable speed figs. Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this filly. She looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. FEATURE CREATURE – Could provide positive gains based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 82. She has respectable class ratings, averaging 89, and has to be given a shot in this competition. CAPOEIRA – With a sound 78 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today’s race. Has the looks of a money-making wager.
|BELTERRA PARK RACE 1-|
SIXTY CENT – Hamm drops her down to this class. You don’t need too much more information to think this horse should run well at this level. Popular handicapping angle – 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a good one. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another sign that this horse has the class to win. AMAZING DANCER – The jock/trainer tandem of Leon and Pitts has a strong ROI together. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That’s what we have here.
|MONDAY STATESIDE TIPS HORSERACING TRACKS USA MONDAY AUGUST 23|
|COLONIAL DOWNS |
#6 TRACEY FLICK 5/1 ML
#7 SLIP SLIDING AWAY 5/1 ML
#8 UNSHAKEABLE U 6/1 ML
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TRACY FLICK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in T rackMaster Power Rating. SLIP SLIDING AWAY: Horse has a TrackMaster “+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. UNSHAKABLE U: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface
|PRAIRE MEADOWS RACE 5 |
Race Type: Lone Stalker. DARLENE STRONG is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUSSIAN ROULETTE: Horse’s win percentage at today’s distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CLAY’S MOON STONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DARLENE STRONG: Horse has a TrackMaster “+” designation or an “L” designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FIRST EMPRESS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
|PARX RACE 9|
#9 JAKARTA (ML=7/2)- JAKARTA – This mare has, according to my advanced stats, dominant pace. Look for this one to be in front when the field turns for home, straight through to the wire.
JAKARTA – If you review the PP’s for this animal, you’ll see she has recorded the top Equibase speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat race in this event and this horse has a superb chance to win. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the 1st time should be considered. That’s what we have here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 VAULT (ML=5/2), #1 TROLLEY RIDE (ML=3/1), #6 FUNWHILEITLASTED (ML=9/2),
VAULT – This thoroughbred just hasn’t looked sharp of late. TROLLEY RIDE – Finished fourth last time out. Would have to perk up to finish in the money in today’s race. Unlikely that the speed fig she registered on July 26th will be good enough in this race. FUNWHILEITLASTED – This filly raced well on August 4th placing second, but hasn’t even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. 9-3-4-7
|RACE 2 LOUISIANA DOWNS|
POP LIFE is my choice. Recently Dominguez has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Has to be given consideration – I like the figs from the last competition. Overall the speed figs of this pony look strong in this race. CAP ROCK MINER – Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this equine look solid in this race. Trainer has strong win rate (19 percent) at this distance and surface. END ZONE – Has been racing strongly in races of this distance, going 2 out of 5 under similar conditions. Will likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the race
|RACE 2 FORT EIRIE|
CLASSY VISION is the best bet in this race. Has run strongly when running a dirt sprint race. The speed fig of 72 from her most recent race looks very strong in here. The average class fig of 62 makes this entrant tough to beat. PETAL – Has very strong early lick and will probably fare strongly versus this group. Has to be given a shot based on the decent speed rating garnered in the last contest. MISS TEA BLONDE – Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races as of late. With a quite good 59 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing.
|MOUNTAINEER RACE 4|
#4 BEEBE’S BEST BET (ML=8/1)
#3 SMOKIN CITY (ML=8/1)
BEEBE BEST BET – This gelding likes to stalk and the way things shape up here, he should get a ‘dream’ trip. Look for this gelding to run much better right here. Last event at Mountaineer Park finishing fifth on a muddy track is no sign of his true talent. SMOKIN CITY – I undeniably see good things for this magnificent animal right here.
SUNDAY AUG 22 QUEENS PLATE
|Trainer Kevin Attard has entered nearly a third of the field for the $1 million Queen’s Plate in search of his initial win in the first jewel of the Canadian Triple Crown, which will be contested over 1 1/4 miles on Woodbine’s Tapeta Sunday afternoon.|
Attard will send out four horses in the 13-horse field, restricted to Canadian-bred 3-year-olds, including the filly Munnyfor Ro, winner of the Woodbine Oaks. Munnyfor Ro was supplemented to the Queen’s Plate for a fee of $25,000 following her Aug. 1 Oaks win in the Oaks, a race in which she earned an 82 Beyer Speed Figure.
Munnyfor Ro is the lone filly in this year’s 162nd Queen’s Plate, but fillies have won four of the last 10 editions of the race. Three of those fillies were also Woodbine Oaks winners: Inglorious (2011), Lexie Lou (2014), and Holy Helena (2017).
“She’s here and we’re excited,” Attard said. “We waited to see how she came out of the race. She seemed to handle the race really well in the Oaks. She had a good work in the interim and she’s been doing really well. She’s in the feed tub and it seems like she’s ready to fire again.”
Attard’s other starters will occupy three of the five inside post positions in the Queen’s Plate. Harlan Estate will start from post 2 following an allowance victory on July 16, Haddassah will start from post 3 following a third in the Grade 3 Marine Stakes on July 11, and H C Holiday will start from post 5 following a third-place finish in the Plate Trial Stakes on Aug. 1. A son of 2014 Queen’s Plate runner-up Ami’s Holiday, H C Holiday was elevated to second following the disqualification of stablemate Truffle King.
One of Attard’s main rivals in the Queen’s Plate is 4-1 morning-line favorite Keep Grinding, owned by his 17-year-old son, Joshua, and trained by his father, Tino. Keep Grinding finished second in the Grade 3 Marine Stakes in his stakes debut on July 11, and earned an 84 Beyer Speed Figure as the top Canadian-bred finisher in that race.
“I am very excited and it’s also very nerve wracking, that’s for sure,” said Joshua Attard. “I know Keep Grinding, he’ll show up. He always tries, if you watch all his races. He never gives up and I know on Sunday he’ll show up.”
American import Safe Conduct has drawn the rail and will ship in from Saratoga for trainer Phil Serpe. His last start was an eighth on turf in the Grade 1 Belmont Derby Invitational at Belmont Park on July 10. He’s the only horse in the field without a start over Woodbine’s Tapeta surface.
The other American-based horse in the Queen’s Plate is Dance Some Mo, owned by Sam-Son Farm. Dance Some Mo has been training at the Fair Hill training center in Maryland under the care of Graham Motion, but did ship to Woodbine for his final Plate prep on July 16, when he was nosed out at the wire by Harlan Estate.
Sam-Son Farm will have a second horse in the race as well in search of its first Queen’s Plate win since Eye of the Leopard won in 2009. Tidal Forces, trained by Gail Cox, was unbeaten in two starts heading into the Marine, but wound up fifth in that event after inheriting the lead. He should be able to settle off of the pace in this spot.
Riptide Rock will look to bring Stronach Stables a third Queen’s Plate victory in the last seven years following wins with Shaman Ghost in 2015 and Holy Helena in 2017. His final prep for the Plate came in a six-furlong sprint on July 16, his first start back with trainer Sid Attard after making four starts for Jerry Hollendorfer. He earned an 88 Beyer in that 1 1/2-length win in a first-level allowance and will now try to stretch out to 1 1/4 miles.
Two other horses in the Queen’s Plate exit the Plate Trial, including Avoman, the winner. Avoman has paired 83 Beyer Speed Figures in his two starts this season, finishing third in an allowance against older horses going 1 1/16 miles on July 3 prior to his score in the Plate Trial. Derzkii finished fourth in the Plate Trial, but was interfered with in the stretch and was placed third. He’s done some of his best running around two turns.
Take a Chance was supplemented to the Queen’s Plate by trainer Catherine Day Phillips following a maiden win on July 11. He set a quick pace that day and never looked back, earning a 73 Beyer Speed Figure. He figures to be among the pacesetters Sunday, and will start from post 4.
Rounding out the field of 13 is Go Take Charge for trainer Breeda Hayes. He finished second in a maiden event over 1 1/16 miles on Tapeta on July 24.
The Queen’s Plate will be race 10 on Woodbine’s 13-race card, which also includes the Grade 1 Highlander Stakes. First race post-time is 12:25 p.m. Eastern. The Queen’s Plate will go off at approximately 5:42 p.m.
|DEL-MAR AUGUST 6 DRF -BRAD FREE|
Gregory’s Pride 2. Cali Bay 3. Kazuhiko
Based on third-place finishes in fall-winter, comebacker GREGORY’S PRIDE is the one to beat in this maiden turf sprint. He missed by a
head on the Del Mar turf first out, followed by an improved effort behind subsequent Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World. That
maiden race produced four next-out winners; ‘PRIDE returns with sharp works and speed to be forwardly placed on a course that has been
kind to speed (sprints only). Six of the last 10 turf sprints were won gate to wire. ‘PRIDE is trained by Phil D’Amato, who also starts
comeback closer CALI BAY. The latter finished willingly in his runner-up U.S. debut, and though five furlongs is a bit short, he will be
rolling late. KAZUHIKO, a $1.2 million yearling who placed in a G3 in Australia in his debut in spring 2020 before he tailed off in fall,
adds Lasix for his U.S. debut. He has worked in company with stakes winner Dogtag and G2 winner Royal Ship, and though reluctant to
switch leads in those dirt works (viewed on XBTV.com), KAZUHIKO might prefer grass. Intriguing prospect for Richard Mandella.
Kristi’s Tiger 2. Li’l Grazen 3. Takethediamondlane
KRISTI’S TIGER is comfortably drawn outside in this Cal-bred allowance sprint, racing over a DMR main track on which she won last
summer at two turns. A state-bred allowance winner two back, she retains eligibility because the win was on turf. Pressing style, proven at
the level, advantageous post, much to like. However, she faces a formidable rival in LI’L GRAZEN, a four-time winner at this condition.
She is entered for the optional $20k claim tag, is a three-time winner at DMR, and earned figures higher than the top choice. Inside post no
bargain, however. The rail is 2-for-44 (into Thursday, all dirt sprint distances combined). TAKETHEDIAMONDLANE returns from a
long layoff to run over a track on which she won her debut. TIZ A MASTER also returns from a layoff for a trainer-jockey combo that is
6-for-21 the past four months.
Bobby Bo 2. Magnificent 3. Fenway
One more chance for BOBBY BO, who lost his first two starts at odds-on. Both were sprints won by stablemates. ‘BO ran well two weeks
ago, runner-up with a decent 81 Beyer. Now he stretches out, and might be gone. MAGNIFICENT has something the top choice lacks,
which is two-turn experience. His runner-up finish last out was better than looked. He steadied sharply on first turn, pulled forward to chase
while unrelaxed, and was no match for odds-on stablemate Beyond Brilliant. MAGNIFICENT finished more than four clear of third.
Decent second start by an improving maiden. FENWAY was well-regarded early this year, but lost his first four starts. A stablemate of the
top choice, FENWAY is likely to have improved since his winter-spring campaign and could get a cozy trip. If his stablemate sets the pace,
FENWAY could find himself alone in second position. Or, he could go on with it and set the pace from the rail. WHO’S THE STAR adds
blinkers and stretches out.
Zabava 2. Clearly Gone 3. Mad Grace
ZABAVA is a consummate pro, 9-for-27 on turf and seeking her third straight at this $25k claiming level. Her closing style suits the course
profile. CLEARLY GONE, one-two half her 16 turf starts, was fully extended to win a restricted claiming race more than four months
ago. It was not the fastest win of her career, but she has been freshened since, and returns to a course on which she is a two-time winner.
MAD GRACE, five-time winner in the East and Midwest, merits an upset chance, first start off the claim by high-percent f.o.c. claim
trainer Jonathan Wong and with a hot rider. Kyle Frey entered the week 8-for-35. His 22 percent win rate is second-highest in the colony
(Flavien Prat leads with 28 percent). PERFECT ICE STORM has speed and creditable dirt figs; SUGARY is a three-time turf winner at
DMR; ELLIE ARROWAY will push the pace.
Connie Swingle 2. Big Novel 3. Spoiled Rotten
Date: August 6th, 2021 Track: Del Mar
Debut runner-up CONNIE SWINGLE looks tough in this sprint for Cal-bred 2yo maidens. She raced greenly first out, ran well to miss by
a half-length, and worked well since. Tab for major improvement second out. The filly she lost to (Drizella) was entered in the CTBA
Stakes (race 7) on Friday. BIG NOVEL debuts with a solid work pattern for a productive trainer-jockey tandem. John Sadler and Umberto
Rispoli have won at a 24 percent clip (22 for 91) the past year. ‘NOVEL is a full sibling to modest maiden winner Big Story. First-time
starter SPOILED ROTTEN posted a series of fast works at San Luis Rey Downs and figures as a contender. Also-eligible firster BONNIE
BRAE is a sibling to stakes winner Desmond Doss and five other multiple winners.
Steak and Cheese 2. Racetrackers 3. Ox Bridge
Shipper STEAK AND CHEESE fits perfect in this $32k claiming turf mile, restricted to non-winners of two. His maiden win last out at
Indiana Grand was validated when the runner-up returned to win a MSW; trainer Mike Maker has an outstanding record with last-out
maiden winners in turf-route claiming races: 14-for-32 the past three-plus years. In other words, Maker strategically places last-out maiden
winners. The locals in this field look mostly the same, although RACETRACKERS has improved since stretching out. He finished fourth
two back, second last out. He might benefit cutting back from nine furlongs to one mile. OX BRIDGE was eliminated at the break when
he stumbled badly opening day. He is quick enough to set/press the pace. Sooner or later, the anti-speed course profile is likely to dissipate.
Smash Ticket 2. Elm Drive 3. At the Spa
The maiden romp by second-start 2yo filly SMASH TICKET opening week stamps her most likely winner of this historically predictable
G2. ‘TICKET did not break particularly well, unleashed a burst of speed to press two-wide, made the lead on the turn, and ran away to win
by five lengths with the highest figure (78 Beyer) of the season by a West Coast 2yo filly. Favorites won this stakes race four of the last six
years, and though the inside post (2 of 11) is a potential challenge, she enters a simply the fastest in the field. Probably cannot afford
another tardy takeoff against this better field, however. ELM DRIVE won her debut by eight lengths, and worked well since including two
solid works at DMR. She will apply pressure from the outside. AT THE SPA, cross-entered Friday in the CTBA Stakes, is a two-for-two
stakes winner with speed.
Lady O’Prado 2. Katla 3. Summer Rose
LADY O’PRADO stretches to her preferred two-turn trip after a tough-trip (stumbled start) sprint third last out. Her best races are routes,
she should be forwardly placed. Speed has been effective in dirt routes. KATLA drops from $25k claiming N2L to rock-bottom $16k N2L
and returns to her preferred footing, which seems to be dirt. Last-out maiden-claiming winner SUMMER ROSE adds speed, and fits with
these low-level claiming winners though she has gotten wobbly in deep stretch both routes. ZABRA trounced maidens last out in the 27th
start of her career. She enters with the highest last-out dirt figure.
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